{"id":47282,"date":"2014-02-10T05:51:41","date_gmt":"2014-02-10T10:51:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=47282"},"modified":"2014-02-10T05:51:42","modified_gmt":"2014-02-10T10:51:42","slug":"controversial-stock-gets-a-stay-of-execution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2014\/02\/10\/controversial-stock-gets-a-stay-of-execution\/","title":{"rendered":"Controversial Stock Gets a \u201cStay of Execution\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1dy17jo\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1biHr33\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"Controversial Stock Gets a \u201cStay of Execution\u201d\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>Rotten to the core&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>That pretty much sums up my take on the glut of social media-based companies that went public in the last few years.<\/p>\n<p>Mind you, it&#8217;s entirely because they came to market at obscene valuations. But apparently everyday investors are a stubborn bunch\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Instead of simply steering clear, they insist on learning the perils of inflated, overhyped IPOs the hard (and costly) way.<\/p>\n<p>Consider Exhibit A: <strong>Facebook<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1iPZUmD\">FB<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>From its opening day peak on May 18, 2012 to its all-time low only 106 days later, the stock flopped 61%.<\/p>\n<p>Shares really started to hit the skids on the heels of the company&#8217;s first earnings report on July 26, 2012. They dropped 17% in a single day, erasing billions of dollars in market capitalization in the blink of an eye.<\/p>\n<p>Fast-forward to today, and the same fate has stricken another social media darling, <strong>Twitter<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1biHr35\">TWTR<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>The day after its first earnings report as a public company last week, shares tanked 24%, wiping out $8.7 billion in market value.<\/p>\n<p>While I expect the stock to keep getting gutted, the company is not a total loss.<\/p>\n<p>Quite the opposite, in fact. The company is tremendously valuable, just not in the way most investors think. Let me explain\u2026<\/p>\n<p><strong>Miss Cleo Can&#8217;t Touch This<\/strong><b><\/b><\/p>\n<p>While I&#8217;ve always been hyper critical of social media valuations, I&#8217;ve never questioned the utility of the platforms. For good reason, too.<\/p>\n<p>It turns out that social media networks, unlike psychics, possess extraordinary predictive abilities. A growing body of evidence, from University College London to Harvard, confirms it, too.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, as we communicate with friends and loved ones over social media, we also unknowingly reveal our real-world behaviors and intentions.<\/p>\n<p>By mining this data, companies can glean invaluable information\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Like identifying news stories destined to erupt into full-blown national crises. To this end, CNN recently revealed that it&#8217;s preparing to unveil a new tool, developed in partnership with Twitter and Dataminr, to help journalists identify breaking news stories first.<\/p>\n<p>More significantly to us, social media data can be mined to determine the future direction of stock prices. Seriously.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A study from Harvard Business School by Frank Nagle found that social media sentiment can predict fluctuations in stock prices &#8220;as far back as six or seven days.&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>When <strong>Netflix<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1iPZWuW\">NFLX<\/a>) made its ill-fated decision to split its DVD rental business and streaming video services in 2011, Topsy Labs said its model predicted the ensuing double-digit price decline for shares. How? It noted a high frequency of phrases like &#8220;just canceled my Netflix subscription.&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Meanwhile, sentiment data analysis firm, WiseWindow, had the results of its stock-picking model independently verified. And it legitimately helped improve performance between 30% and 48% on an annualized basis.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We&#8217;re talking about tweets being paved with gold, people! That is, if you have the information in advance.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s no wonder, then, that venture capitalists keep unloading money into appropriately dubbed &#8220;social media analytics&#8221; firms.<\/p>\n<p>Take Dataminr, for instance. It has raised $47.6 million to date, including a $30-million Series C round in June 2013.<\/p>\n<p>Or DataSift. It has attracted over $71 million in funding, including $42 million in fresh capital right at the end of 2013.<\/p>\n<p>Then there&#8217;s the previously mentioned Topsy Labs. It raised more than $32 million in venture capital funding before being acquired for more than $200 million by <strong>Apple<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1biHr37\">AAPL<\/a>) in December 2013.<\/p>\n<p>If Apple is making strategic acquisitions in the space, there&#8217;s definitely money to be made from this trend.<\/p>\n<p>Bottom line: The value of social media is not in the stocks of the various platform providers. To the contrary, it&#8217;s in the enormous amount of data, including 500 million tweets per day, which crosses those platforms.<\/p>\n<p>The trick, of course, is uncovering publicly traded companies that have figured out a way to monetize the social media chatter. That way we can participate in the upside.<\/p>\n<p>The good news? We just found one. In fact, it&#8217;s the newest addition to our <em>WSD Insider<\/em> portfolio. Like Topsy, it&#8217;s a prime acquisition candidate, too.<\/p>\n<p>To access our full research report on the opportunity, all you have to do is sign-up for a risk-free subscription <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1iPZWuY\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Louis Basenese<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1biHoUR\">Controversial Stock Gets a \u201cStay of Execution\u201d<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/wCCKdg\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Article By <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1dy17jo\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Original Article: <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1biHoUR\">Controversial Stock Gets a \u201cStay of Execution\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com Rotten to the core&#8230; That pretty much sums up my take on the glut of social media-based companies that went public in the last few years. Mind you, it&#8217;s entirely because they came to market at obscene valuations. But apparently everyday investors are a stubborn bunch\u2026 Instead of simply steering clear, they insist &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2014\/02\/10\/controversial-stock-gets-a-stay-of-execution\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Controversial Stock Gets a \u201cStay of Execution\u201d&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47282","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47282"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47282\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47282"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47282"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47282"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}