{"id":44511,"date":"2013-11-22T19:04:01","date_gmt":"2013-11-23T00:04:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=44511"},"modified":"2013-11-22T19:04:01","modified_gmt":"2013-11-23T00:04:01","slug":"dont-touch-this-toxic-ipo-nine-entertainment-co","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/11\/22\/dont-touch-this-toxic-ipo-nine-entertainment-co\/","title":{"rendered":"Don\u2019t Touch This Toxic IPO: Nine Entertainment Co."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>If you were planning on investing in the <strong>Nine Entertainment Co.<\/strong> (Nine) <strong> IPO<\/strong>&#8230;I&#8217;d think again. The days of &#8216;traditional&#8217; TV networks are numbered. <\/p>\n<p>Why? Because the digital world is taking over. And there&#8217;s already one  internet TV streaming company gearing up to take on all TV networks. This  company is the beginning of the new TV revolution. <\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, if a secret trade deal between a group of pacific nations  is ratified this company will get even bigger and more profitable&#8230; <\/p>\n<p>When it comes to the <strong>Nine IPO<\/strong> the funny thing is that in their  prospectus they&#8217;ve predicted their own death.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what the prospectus says,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8216;<em>Nine Network is  primarily reliant on generating advertising revenue from broadcasting  activities. In attracting advertising revenue, FTA TV broadcasters such as Nine  Network compete primarily on the basis of audience share ratings, programming  content and advertising rates. With the continued development of alternative  forms of media, particularly digital media, Nine Network may face increased  competition for advertising revenue.<\/em>&#8216;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>It continues,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8216;<em>Newer  technologies, including streaming and downloading capabilities through the  Internet, video-on-demand and other technologies, are increasing the number of  media and entertainment choices available to audiences.<\/em>&#8216;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>It also goes on to list other risks, such as &#8216;<em>lack of popular programming content<\/em>&#8216;. To summarise it all here&#8217;s a  simple translation,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8216;We (Channel 9) are competing against the internet to  make our money.&#8217;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Now I don&#8217;t know about you but I&#8217;d think<strong> Channel 9 <\/strong>are paddling up &#8216;that  creek&#8217; without the proverbial paddle. Their profits are at risk from the  internet. In other words, online TV streaming companies.<\/p>\n<h2>The Secret  (Useless) Trade Deal<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>You may have heard about a recent &#8216;Secret Treaty&#8217; leaked by Wikileaks.  If you haven&#8217;t, it&#8217;s a proposed trade agreement between the US, Japan, Mexico,  Canada, Australia, Malaysia, Chile, Singapore, Peru, Vietnam, New Zealand and  Brunei Darussalam.<\/p>\n<p>The Wikileaks description says about it,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8216;<em>The chapter  covers proposed international obligations and enforcement mechanisms for  copyright, trademark and patent law, and includes the combined positions of all  of the parties as they were by the end of August 2013.<\/em>&#8216;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>This trade deal is to protect the profits of companies (predominately US  companies). Piracy, intellectual property and industrial design protection are  some of the key issues at stake.<\/p>\n<p>If this treaty gets the green light it will hurt the consumer. Prices  will rise. You&#8217;ll have to pay more for over the counter and prescription drugs.  TV shows, music and movies will all cost more. It&#8217;s protectionism at its  finest.<\/p>\n<p>In its simplest form, piracy, IP theft and  copyright infringement isn&#8217;t great. I&#8217;m of the opinion if you create original  material you should have right to profit from it.<\/p>\n<p>But at the same time I think prices should be  more affordable. As it stands we already pay too much in Australia for TV,  music and definitely movies.<\/p>\n<p>My point is maybe the problem isn&#8217;t the piracy  and infringement itself. Maybe the problem is why it&#8217;s happening in the first  place.<\/p>\n<p>Let me paint you a picture.<\/p>\n<p><em>You head out to the  movies. You book two tickets to see the new Hunger Games movie. At the ticket  booth you shell out $19 for a ticket. You head to the candy bar. $15 for a  small popcorn and coke. Of course you&#8217;re not on your own, so multiply all that  by two. If you&#8217;re a family&#8230;well you get the drift. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Anyway, $68 dollars later  you&#8217;re in your seat watching previews. All you can think about is the  ridiculous cost even to just be there. You feel quite mad sitting there as  you&#8217;ve dropped a fair bit of coin for something that could end up being crap  anyway. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Now here&#8217;s the alternative.<\/p>\n<p><em>You&#8217;ve practically got a  cinema size TV&#8217;s at home. You want to watch the new Hunger Games movie. But  it&#8217;s not out at the movies for another week. So? You can download a pirated  copy for free from a Torrent site. You skip over to Coles while it&#8217;s  downloading, grab a bottle of Coke and some microwave popcorn for about $3. You  times that by&#8230;one, as that&#8217;s enough to cover everyone. You sit on the couch  and start the movie pretty chuffed because you&#8217;ve saved $65.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Of course with the second option you&#8217;re  breaking the law. But I&#8217;m pretty sure many of you do it anyway already. <\/p>\n<p>So what&#8217;s a legal way of getting good content,  at a fair price, without breaking the law?<\/p>\n<p>Well I think <strong>Netflix [NASDAQ:NFLX] <\/strong>has it all figured out. In fact Netflix is the first  legitimate internet TV streaming service, and it&#8217;s set to kill &#8216;traditional&#8217; TV  channels.<\/p>\n<h2>Netflix 101<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how it works. You log into Netflix  through your TV. If you don&#8217;t have a TV you can use the computer, Apple TV,  Blu-ray player, Xbox, PS3, etc. <\/p>\n<p>Then you just find the show you want and  stream it through the screen. Its on-demand TV. Of course this isn&#8217;t particularly  new. But there&#8217;s a few things that indicate it&#8217;s the only way forward for TV  networks.<\/p>\n<p>Part of that is Netflix now produce original  content. That is they make and screen shows that you can <em>only<\/em> get on<strong> Netflix<\/strong>. That means, Foxtel won&#8217;t get these shows and  Channel 9 definitely won&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p>As a subscriber to Netflix the cost of  subscription makes Foxtel look like the rip-off it is. It&#8217;s about $9 a month.  Now that&#8217;s affordable to most people. Actually it&#8217;s affordable to over 40.4  million people around the world.<\/p>\n<p>Of course you&#8217;re saying now, &#8216;That&#8217;s great  Sam, but I can&#8217;t get Netflix in Australia.&#8217; <\/p>\n<p>Good point. You can&#8217;t, yet. The main reason is  Australia&#8217;s less than average internet infrastructure. Simply to get the best  out of Netflix you need a decent internet connection speed. So blame the  government for that one&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>But it doesn&#8217;t mean you can&#8217;t capitalise on  Netflix&#8217;s current dominance and future dominance of internet TV streaming.  They&#8217;re so dominant, Netflix alone accounts for over 31% of <em>all<\/em> internet traffic in North America.  That&#8217;s more than YouTube, Facebook, and iTunes <em>combined<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>When Netflix does come to Australia, and they  will soon, it&#8217;s the end of TV stations like Channel 9. There&#8217;s simply no way  they can compete with the likes of Netflix for content. So as people switch off  from the likes of Channel 9, watch their profits fall away. <\/p>\n<p>To me the Nine Entertainment Co. IPO looks  toxic, and I&#8217;d avoid it at all costs. Particularly when you&#8217;ve got investable  companies like Netflix that are way ahead in terms of content, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/technology-and-innovation\" title=\"more on technology and innovation \">innovation and  technology<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sam Volkering<a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/u\/0\/111160335563076067119\/about\">+<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n    <strong>Technology Analyst, <em>Revolutionary Tech Investor<\/em> <\/strong><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/106516983215198267222\/about\" title=\"Join Money Morning on Google Plus -- and read about the things we can't always fit into our regular essays\"><u>Join Money Morning on Google+ <\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=onTySxuphAo:dmU1esiGB1k:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=onTySxuphAo:dmU1esiGB1k:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=onTySxuphAo:dmU1esiGB1k:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=onTySxuphAo:dmU1esiGB1k:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=onTySxuphAo:dmU1esiGB1k:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~4\/onTySxuphAo\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><br \/>\nBy <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By MoneyMorning.com.au If you were planning on investing in the Nine Entertainment Co. (Nine) IPO&#8230;I&#8217;d think again. The days of &#8216;traditional&#8217; TV networks are numbered. Why? Because the digital world is taking over. And there&#8217;s already one internet TV streaming company gearing up to take on all TV networks. This company is the beginning of &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/11\/22\/dont-touch-this-toxic-ipo-nine-entertainment-co\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Don\u2019t Touch This Toxic IPO: Nine Entertainment Co.&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44511","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44511","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44511"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44511\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44511"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44511"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44511"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}