{"id":44198,"date":"2013-11-14T20:21:18","date_gmt":"2013-11-15T01:21:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=44198"},"modified":"2013-11-14T20:31:48","modified_gmt":"2013-11-15T01:31:48","slug":"certain-stocks-flying-while-investors-worry-about-the-wrong-thing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/11\/14\/certain-stocks-flying-while-investors-worry-about-the-wrong-thing\/","title":{"rendered":"Certain Stocks Flying While Investors Worry About the Wrong Thing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>We  sometimes wonder if other <strong>investors<\/strong> and analysts live on the same planet as us.<\/p>\n<p>We  wonder if they really know what&#8217;s going on with the markets.<\/p>\n<p>We  wonder if they understand the ultimate game plan.<\/p>\n<p>Heck,  we wonder if most so-called investment pros even have a brain.<\/p>\n<p>Because  the way they&#8217;ve behaved over the past two weeks suggests they&#8217;re short in the  &#8216;grey matter&#8217; department.<\/p>\n<p>And  what we read yesterday evening pretty much confirmed our thoughts&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>It  still amazes us that so many investors and analysts believe the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/financial-system\/banks-and-interest-rates\/the-federal-reserve\" title=\"more on the US Federal Reserve\">US Federal  Reserve<\/a> is about to cut back on its bond-buying program.<\/p>\n<p>We can&#8217;t  for a minute think of anything the Fed has done to cause anyone to think they  would do that.<\/p>\n<p>And  yet every now and then the market goes into a frenzy. It worries the Fed is  about to pull the pin on stimulus, and so <strong>stocks<\/strong> fall.<\/p>\n<p>Listen.  We&#8217;ll say it again for anyone who doesn&#8217;t quite believe us yet: <em>interest rates aren&#8217;t going up and the Fed  will keep buying bonds&#8230;forever if necessary<\/em>.<\/p>\n<h2>Don&#8217;t  Fight it, Get Used to it<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>If  you don&#8217;t believe us, perhaps you&#8217;ll accept the words of Federal Reserve  chairman nominee Dr Janet L Yellen. According to <em>Bloomberg News<\/em>, she said in a statement:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8216;<em>A strong recovery will ultimately enable the  Fed to reduce its monetary accommodation and reliance on unconventional policy  tools such as asset purchases. I believe that supporting the recovery today is  the surest path to returning to a more normal approach to monetary policy.<\/em>&#8216;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>By  the way, when Dr Yellen talks about returning to a &#8216;<em>more normal approach<\/em>&#8216;, you shouldn&#8217;t think that means the Fed will  go back to playing a minor role in global finance.<\/p>\n<p>Now  that the Fed is nice and settled in the world economy&#8217;s driving seat, there&#8217;s  nothing anyone can do to push it back into the backseat.<\/p>\n<p>So  get used to it.<\/p>\n<p>And  we mean that.<\/p>\n<p>It  will switch from fear to optimism and back again&#8230;and then back the other way  again for years to come.<\/p>\n<p>Even  the talk about the Fed tapering its bond program next March is, in our view,  na&iuml;ve.<\/p>\n<p>All  that will happen is investors will frighten themselves out of the market, as  they have done over the past few weeks. And that&#8217;s a shame, because in that  period we&#8217;ve seen some of our favourite stocks go mental.<\/p>\n<h2>Stocks  Still on Sale<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>Investors  who panicked and sold their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/stock-market\/stocks-and-bonds\" title=\"more on stocks\">stocks<\/a> two weeks ago, or refused to buy two weeks  ago, have missed out on a 71.3% gain from one of our favourite 3D printing stocks.<\/p>\n<p>They&#8217;ve  missed out on a 90.4% gain on our favourite regenerative biotech stock.<\/p>\n<p>And  they&#8217;ve missed out on a 29.8% gain on a stock which technology analyst Sam  Volkering earmarked for <em><a href=\"http:\/\/pro1.portphillippublishing.com.au\/164074\/\">Revolutionary  Tech Investor<\/a><\/em> subscribers just last week.<\/p>\n<p>And  now having seen those gains, many investors will worry that they&#8217;ve missed out  on all the gains. After all, as Rick Rule reminds folks, the best time to <strong>buy stocks<\/strong> is when prices are low.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s  a simple message, but it&#8217;s one investors often forget.<\/p>\n<p>Well,  if you&#8217;re worried that you&#8217;ve completely missed out on gains, don&#8217;t. Despite  selected stocks doing well in recent weeks, as you can tell from the index  levels, it has by no means been a rally across the board.<\/p>\n<p>There  are still a heck of a lot of stocks trading at beaten-down prices.<\/p>\n<p>That  tells you something important. There&#8217;s no question that when the market is this  volatile, it&#8217;s a stock pickers&#8217; market rather than an index investors&#8217; market.<\/p>\n<h2>The  Best Sector for 2014<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>So,  if it&#8217;s a stock pickers market, which stocks should you pick?<\/p>\n<p>The  great thing about this rally is that it isn&#8217;t just one sector doing all the  work. As we noted above, we&#8217;re seeing gains in various industries: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20131113\/3d-printing-the-real-technology-story.html\" title=\"3D Printing, the Real Technology Story\">3D printing<\/a>,  biotech, cybersecurity, personalised medicine and&#8230;resources.<\/p>\n<p>In  fact, our bet is that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/commodities\/resources-and-mining\/resources-and-mining-stocks\" title=\"more on resource stocks\">resource stocks<\/a> could be one of the best hunting grounds  for investors in 2014. With money printing set to continue, and at least the  illusion of recovery in the US market, you&#8217;ll see a higher demand for  commodities.<\/p>\n<p>Not  to mention the continued growth of China&#8217;s economy and the opportunities there  for resource and <a href=\"http:\/\/pro1.portphillippublishing.com.au\/164076\/\">non-resource stocks<\/a>&nbsp;(a  theme we covered in the just-released November issue of <em>Australian Small-Cap Investigator<\/em>).<\/p>\n<p>Although  it may seem unlikely given the heavy falls by most resource stocks, the market  and investor sentiment can quickly turn. We&#8217;ve seen that over the past 18  months with a range of sectors.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve  seen it with dividend stocks, technology stocks, and biotechnology stocks.<\/p>\n<p>And  it won&#8217;t be long before you see it with <strong>resource stocks<\/strong>. As we say, don&#8217;t  expect a broad-based rally (at least not to begin with). When the market turns  it&#8217;s usually the most risk-hungry investors who jump in first looking for the  cream-of-the-crop stocks.<\/p>\n<p>As  these stocks rise, other investors will gain confidence and start looking for  the next tier of stocks to go up. And so on. That&#8217;s how stock rallies begin. Of  course, stock rallies don&#8217;t last forever&#8230;and we all know how they end.<\/p>\n<p>But  we&#8217;re not worried about the end of the next resource stock boom yet, for the  simple reason that the boom has barely started. Keep an eye on resource stocks  in 2014.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cheers,<br \/>\nKris<a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/u\/1\/102832084048340347143\/about\">+<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Special Report: <a href=\"http:\/\/pro1.portphillippublishing.com.au\/164076\/\">The &#8216;Wonder Weld&#8217; That Could Triple Your  Money<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/106516983215198267222\/about\" title=\"Join Money Morning on Google Plus -- and read about the things we can't always fit into our regular essays\"><u>Join Money Morning on Google+ <\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=aCk0sFz_W9Q:wljOTOH_1vs:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=aCk0sFz_W9Q:wljOTOH_1vs:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=aCk0sFz_W9Q:wljOTOH_1vs:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=aCk0sFz_W9Q:wljOTOH_1vs:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=aCk0sFz_W9Q:wljOTOH_1vs:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~4\/aCk0sFz_W9Q\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By MoneyMorning.com.au We sometimes wonder if other investors and analysts live on the same planet as us. We wonder if they really know what&#8217;s going on with the markets. We wonder if they understand the ultimate game plan. Heck, we wonder if most so-called investment pros even have a brain. Because the way they&#8217;ve behaved &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/11\/14\/certain-stocks-flying-while-investors-worry-about-the-wrong-thing\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Certain Stocks Flying While Investors Worry About the Wrong Thing&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44198","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44198"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44198\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}