{"id":44146,"date":"2013-11-14T05:50:17","date_gmt":"2013-11-14T10:50:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=44146"},"modified":"2013-11-14T05:50:17","modified_gmt":"2013-11-14T10:50:17","slug":"one-tweet-and-a-carl-icahn-protege-away-from-an-84-6-profit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/11\/14\/one-tweet-and-a-carl-icahn-protege-away-from-an-84-6-profit\/","title":{"rendered":"One Tweet and a Carl Icahn Prot\u00e9g\u00e9 Away From An 84.6% Profit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>What do you get when you cross a flurry of like-minded tweets with the offspring of one of the world\u2019s most successful activist investors?<\/p>\n<p>(No, this isn\u2019t some terrible Wall Street joke.)<\/p>\n<p>You get the perfect storm for a stock to nearly double in short order.<\/p>\n<p>And now that I\u2019ve officially got your attention, let\u2019s get to the opportunity\u2026<\/p>\n<p><b>Tweets Matter<\/b><\/p>\n<p>While I don\u2019t believe <a target=\"_blank\" title=\"Seven Tweetable Risks to Twitter\u2019s IPO\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/11\/06\/twitter-ipo\/\"><b>Twitter\u2019s<\/b><\/a> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ATWTR&amp;ei=HZCDUrGHIsHj0gHs-QE\">TWTR<\/a>) stock holds any investment merit, I certainly don\u2019t feel the same way about the information that traverses its network.<\/p>\n<p>Time and time again, everyday investors telegraph their buying and selling activity by tweeting their opinions on publicly traded stocks beforehand.<\/p>\n<p>For those \u201clistening in\u201d to the chatter, the tweets provide valuable sentiment information that can be used to determine entry and exit points in particular stocks.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m not the only one who thinks so, either.<\/p>\n<p>As <i>The Wall Street Journal<\/i> reports, there are \u201ca host of financial firms that see untapped <a target=\"_blank\" title=\"Twitter and Trading: The Race to Find A Way Continues\" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/moneybeat\/2013\/10\/07\/twitter-and-trading-the-race-to-find-a-way-continues\/\">trading potential<\/a> in [Twitter].\u201d They\u2019re cashing in on it, too, by weeding out the senseless chatter to find the meaningful market information. They then sell the data to traders, who use it as actionable intelligence.<\/p>\n<p>The reason I\u2019m bringing this up is simple: On October 31, one of these \u201csocial listening firms,\u201d Trade Ideas LLC, noticed an unusual uptick in mentions of <b>Fidelity National Financial, Inc. <\/b>(<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3AFNF&amp;ei=E8ODUtiPDaXA0QGuQg\">FNF<\/a>). The stock received 12 times the average mentions in a single day.<\/p>\n<p>The title insurance company should ring a bell with you. Why? Because on February 28, I singled out <a target=\"_blank\" title=\"Five Real Estate Investments Wall Street isn\u2019t Telling You About\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/02\/28\/real-estate-investments-wall-street\/\">Fidelity National<\/a> as one of five overlooked and undervalued ways to capitalize on the ongoing recovery in the residential <a target=\"_blank\" title=\"Three Reasons a Zombie Apocalypse Won\u2019t End the Real Estate Recovery\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/10\/31\/real-estate-recovery-zombie-apocalypse\/\">real estate market<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The stock has performed as predicted &#8211; up 8.62% since that time. Compare that to the wildly popular <b>iShares Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction ETF<\/b> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSEARCA%3AITB&amp;ei=O8ODUvCJNs-00AHrlgE\">ITB<\/a>), which is down 2.93% over the same period. <a name=\"read\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>While the outperformance isn\u2019t much to brag about, new information suggests that Fidelity National could be on the cusp of leaving ITB in the dust and rallying 84.6%.<\/p>\n<p><b>An Icahn-Trained Activist Investor Will Lead the Charge <\/b><\/p>\n<p>After doing some digging, it turns out that the uptick in social media buzz involving Fidelity National coincides with a 13-D filing by Corvex Capital, run by Keith Meister.<\/p>\n<p>For those unaware, a 13-D filing is required when an investor acquires a 5% or larger stake in a particular company.<\/p>\n<p>The \u201cD\u201d designation means that the investor plans to play an active role in bringing about change at the company &#8211; like demanding a board seat or pressuring management to put the company up for sale. Hence the \u201cactivist investor\u201d label often attached to such filings.<\/p>\n<p>The most widely known activist investor is, of course, Carl Icahn.<\/p>\n<p>Well, guess what? Meister served as Icahn\u2019s right-hand man, until he left to found Corvex in 2011.<\/p>\n<p>You think he learned a thing or two from his former boss? I believe that would be a safe assumption. But we don\u2019t have to guess. All we have to do is look at his track record\u2026<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In October 2012, Corvex initiated a large position in <b>ADT Corporation<\/b> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=ADT&amp;ei=u86DUsj_IaGQ0QGK2gE\">ADT<\/a>), a <a target=\"_blank\" title=\"A \u201cCan\u2019t Lose\u201d Way to Profit From the Next Corporate Spinoff\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/10\/23\/corporate-spinoff\/\">spinoff<\/a> from <b>Tyco International Ltd. <\/b>(<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ATYC&amp;ei=OOKDUpjWNMHj0gHs-QE\">TYC<\/a>). He prepared a lengthy presentation outlining how management could unlock shareholder value. Within six months, the stock was up 40%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>In February 2013, Meister took a big stake in <b>CommonWealth REIT<\/b> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=CWH&amp;ei=SeKDUuizG_HD0AHSRQ\">CWH<\/a>). Once again, he showed management how to unlock value. And sure enough, the stock is up 45% since his arrival.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If that\u2019s not impressive enough, consider that billionaire George Soros provided the $250 million in seed capital Meister needed to launch Corvex. I can\u2019t think of a more compelling vote of confidence, can you?<\/p>\n<p>So, what\u2019s Meister up to at Fidelity National?<\/p>\n<p>He believes the company needs to jettison its non-core businesses (O&#8217;Charley&#8217;s Restaurant<b>, <\/b>Remy International<b> <\/b>and<b> <\/b>Ceridian Payroll Services) and focus on its real estate businesses instead.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of value, he believes the non-core assets could fetch $5 per share.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, according to a report by <i>Barron\u2019s<\/i>, he believes the core businesses could be worth upwards of $50. That is, once the pending acquisition of <b>Lender Processing Services<\/b> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ALPS&amp;ei=XeKDUqDUGMi20AHBAw\">LPS<\/a>) is complete and housing activity returns to more normalized levels.<\/p>\n<p>Based on the stock\u2019s current price, we\u2019re talking about an upside of more than 80%.<\/p>\n<p>Bottom line: Icahn\u2019s pupil has already demonstrated his ability to sniff out undervalued opportunities, particularly in the real estate sector. The latest social media buzz indicates that more and more investors are catching on, too.<\/p>\n<p>Forget just blindly following their leads, though. The fundamentals warrant it.<\/p>\n<p>The stock trades at an attractive valuation of 13 times earnings. The core business is ramping up, with sales increasing 6% over the last year, to $1.5 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Plus, management just hiked the quarterly dividend by 12.5%, to $0.18 per share. That means we\u2019ll get paid a modest 2.7% yield while we wait for Meister to shake things up.<\/p>\n<p>So if you didn\u2019t take my advice the first time around to enter a position in Fidelity National, I don\u2019t recommend you wait much longer.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Louis Basenese<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/11\/14\/real-estate-market-fidelity-national\/\">One Tweet and a Carl Icahn Prot\u00e9g\u00e9 Away From An 84.6% Profit<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Article By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Original Article: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/11\/14\/real-estate-market-fidelity-national\/\">One Tweet and a Carl Icahn Prot\u00e9g\u00e9 Away From An 84.6% Profit<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com What do you get when you cross a flurry of like-minded tweets with the offspring of one of the world\u2019s most successful activist investors? (No, this isn\u2019t some terrible Wall Street joke.) You get the perfect storm for a stock to nearly double in short order. And now that I\u2019ve officially got your &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/11\/14\/one-tweet-and-a-carl-icahn-protege-away-from-an-84-6-profit\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;One Tweet and a Carl Icahn Prot\u00e9g\u00e9 Away From An 84.6% Profit&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44146","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44146"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44146\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44146"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44146"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44146"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}