{"id":42516,"date":"2013-09-30T12:40:51","date_gmt":"2013-09-30T16:40:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=42516"},"modified":"2013-09-30T12:40:51","modified_gmt":"2013-09-30T16:40:51","slug":"its-time-to-buy-china-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/09\/30\/its-time-to-buy-china-2\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Time to Buy China"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><u>By The Sizemore Letter<\/u><\/p>\n<p>In recent weeks, I\u2019ve advocated <a href=\"http:\/\/www.traderplanet.com\/commentaries\/view\/164958-after-the-taper-tantrum-time-to-buy-europe\/\">buying European stocks<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.traderplanet.com\/commentaries\/view\/164811-two-reits-with-insider-buying\/\">REITs<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0 I\u2019m still wildly bullish on both, but today my attention is turning to emerging markets and specifically to China.<\/p>\n<p>I first mentioned China <a href=\"http:\/\/www.traderplanet.com\/commentaries\/view\/164698-europe-and-china-are-leading-global-equity-rally\/\">about a month ago<\/a>, noting that Chinese stocks were cheap and that they had quietly been outperforming the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/charlessizemore.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/big.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5713\" alt=\"big\" src=\"http:\/\/charlessizemore.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/big.gif\" width=\"579\" height=\"335\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Well, Chinese stocks are still cheap, fetching only 7 times earnings by the <a href=\"http:\/\/markets.ft.com\/RESEARCH\/markets\/DataArchiveFetchReport?Category=EQ&amp;Type=RAT&amp;Date=09\/26\/2013\"><i>Financial Times\u2019<\/i> estimates<\/a>. And though Chinese stocks have slumped over the past week, they are still outperforming the S&amp;P 500 by a wide margin.<\/p>\n<p>The general consensus is still pretty bearish on China.\u00a0 The feeling is that the country\u2019s best days of growth are behind it.\u00a0 This is true, of course.\u00a0 China will probably never enjoy 10% annual GDP growth again.\u00a0 But its growth rate still puts all developed markets and most emerging markets to shame.\u00a0 And the recent data coming out of China is encouraging.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this week, I received an email from <a href=\"http:\/\/kraneshares.com\/\">KraneShares<\/a>, an advisor specializing in China-focused ETFs that laid out a few economic stats worth bullet pointing:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Home prices for new residential properties in 66 of 70 mid and large cities rose on a monthly basis in August. For price movement, the largest increase was 1.7% and lowest was a fall of 0.1%. Compared to a year ago, 69 cities saw higher home prices, with the greatest gain at 19.3%.<\/li>\n<li>China rail cargo volumes measured in tons-carried improved by 3.9% year on year according to July statistics. A reversal of a negative trend dating back to Feb 2013.<\/li>\n<li>Government revenue rose by 9.2% year on year to Rmb858.8bn (US$140.3bn) in August, according to the Ministry of Finance <span>(<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gurufocus.com\/financials\/MOF&amp;affid=45223\" class=\"ticker\">MOF<\/a><span>)<\/span>, while expenditures grew by 6.5% to Rmb960.7bn. The MOF stated that revenue and expenditure increased by 8.1% and 7.4% respectively in January-August over the year-earlier period. Revenue has accelerated since June, buoyed by stronger corporate and personal income tax, as well as resurgent land sales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>None of these are a reason to run out and invest in Chinese stocks today (though their cheap pricing and momentum certainly are).\u00a0 But they do point to a Chinese economy that has likely quit cooling for now.<\/p>\n<p>Action to take: Allocate a portion of your portfolio to Chinese stocks and plan to hold through at least the first quarter of next year.\u00a0 The<b> <\/b>popular <b>iShares China Large Cap ETF <span>(<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gurufocus.com\/financials\/FXI&amp;affid=45223\" class=\"ticker\">FXI<\/a><span>)<\/span> <\/b>is a good option, though KraneShares has some interesting alternatives as well.\u00a0 <b>The KraneShares CSO China Five Year Plan ETF <span>(<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gurufocus.com\/financials\/KFYP&amp;affid=45223\" class=\"ticker\">KFYP<\/a><span>)<\/span><\/b> targets Chinese companies that the advisor expects to benefit from the Chinese government\u2019s current five-year plan.<\/p>\n<p>The fund is very thinly traded, so be careful if you decide to buy it.\u00a0 But it also allocated very differently from FXI, with a much higher allocation to technology and consumer stocks. Purchased together, the two ETFs should give you broad exposure to the Chinese market.<\/p>\n<p>Disclosures: Sizemore Capital does not currently have a position in any security mentioned. \u00a0This article first appeared on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.traderplanet.com\/commentaries\/view\/165012-chinese-stocks-are-cheap-it-s-time-to-buy\/\">TraderPlanet<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em>Charles Lewis Sizemore, CFA, is the editor of the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/sizemoreletter.com\/\">Sizemore Investment Letter<\/a>\u00a0and the chief investment officer of investments firm Sizemore Capital Management.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/order.investorplace.com\/?sid=DH8323\">Click here<\/a>\u00a0to learn about his top 5 global investing trends and get your copy of \u201cThe Top 5 Million Dollar Trends of 2013.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article first appeared on Sizemore Insights as <a href=\"http:\/\/charlessizemore.com\/time-buy-china\/\">It&#8217;s Time to Buy China<\/a><\/p>\n<div class='yarpp-related-rss'>\n<p>Related posts:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href='http:\/\/charlessizemore.com\/its-time-to-buy-china\/' rel='bookmark' title='It\u2019s Time to Buy China'>It\u2019s Time to Buy China<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href='http:\/\/charlessizemore.com\/luxury-buy-what-chinas-wealthy-are-buying-2\/' rel='bookmark' title='Luxury: Buy What China&#8217;s Wealthy are Buying'>Luxury: Buy What China&#8217;s Wealthy are Buying<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href='http:\/\/charlessizemore.com\/chinas-gdp-a-high-quality-problem\/' rel='bookmark' title='China&#8217;s GDP: A High-Quality Problem'>China&#8217;s GDP: A High-Quality Problem<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p> <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/17W2Dp7\" target=\"blank\"><u>Join the Sizemore Investment Letter &#8211; Premium Edition<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By The Sizemore Letter In recent weeks, I\u2019ve advocated buying European stocks and REITs.\u00a0\u00a0 I\u2019m still wildly bullish on both, but today my attention is turning to emerging markets and specifically to China. I first mentioned China about a month ago, noting that Chinese stocks were cheap and that they had quietly been outperforming the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/09\/30\/its-time-to-buy-china-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;It\u2019s Time to Buy China&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42516","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42516","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42516"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42516\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42516"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42516"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42516"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}