{"id":41957,"date":"2013-09-13T05:35:02","date_gmt":"2013-09-13T09:35:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=41957"},"modified":"2013-09-13T05:35:02","modified_gmt":"2013-09-13T09:35:02","slug":"the-state-of-the-world-economy-in-one-chart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/09\/13\/the-state-of-the-world-economy-in-one-chart\/","title":{"rendered":"The State of the World Economy in One Chart"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>The complexity of global economies and the financial market can make it difficult to simply understand what&#8217;s going on, let alone make investment decisions based on the prevailing conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Not today, though.<\/p>\n<p>Just like every Friday in the <em>Wall Street Daily Nation<\/em>, we&#8217;re letting some carefully selected charts do the talking for us.<\/p>\n<p>This go-round, we&#8217;re looking at a certain asset class, the internet and the global economy.<\/p>\n<p>So let&#8217;s get to it&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><b>Bond Rout? We Ain&#8217;t Seen Nothing Yet<\/b><\/p>\n<p>The &#8220;<a target=\"_blank\" title=\"An Urgent Update on the \u201cGreat Rotation\u201d Myth\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/07\/29\/great-rotation-bonds\/\">Great Rotation<\/a>&#8221; out of bonds and into stocks is well underway. Heck, even the Bond King, PIMCO&#8217;s Bill Gross, knows it.<\/p>\n<p>In the last four months, investors yanked $41 billion out of his flagship fund, the <strong>PIMCO Total Return Fund<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=PTTRX&amp;ei=biIyUoHHEsrh0wHNtQE\">PTTRX<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Think that&#8217;s bad? Think again. The bond rout isn&#8217;t even <em>close<\/em> to being finished.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0913_RunForCover.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/> Despite a whopping $140 billion in bond outflows since May, based on a percentage of assets under management, we&#8217;ve only suffered a 2.9% withdrawal.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This compares to 14% in 1994-1995, 8% in 1999-2000 and 5% in 2003-2004,&#8221; says Binky Chadha, Chief Strategist at <strong>Deutsche Bank<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ADB&amp;ei=SyIyUoiPCJSB0QHtqgE\">DB<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>In other words, we ain&#8217;t seen nothing yet!<\/p>\n<p><b>What Bonds Should We Own Right Now?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>So are any bonds performing well? Well, I told you before that <a target=\"_blank\" title=\"Another Shocking Truth You Won\u2019t Believe About Rising Interest Rates\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/08\/13\/rising-interest-rates-2\/\">convertible bonds perform best in rising interest rate environments<\/a>, since they represent a hybrid security with both bond and equity characteristics.<\/p>\n<p>Sure enough, they&#8217;re up almost 17% year-to-date.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0913_BestBonds.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"425\" \/><\/p>\n<p>High-yield bonds appear to be hanging in there this year. Somehow. Just like the New Kids on the Block&#8217;s fame, though, it won&#8217;t last. Bet on it.<\/p>\n<p><b>What&#8217;s the Next Big Internet Revolution?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>High-speed internet access transformed the internet. Want proof? Ask <strong>AOL, Inc.<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3AAOL&amp;ei=NCIyUvCrAZS30AHufw\">AOL<\/a>) and <strong>Netflix, Inc.<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ANFLX&amp;ei=PSIyUrCWHerX0gH0bg\">NFLX<\/a>). The development of the technology killed AOL&#8217;s business &#8211; and gave Netflix a serious boost.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0913_EntireInternet.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As technology writer, Dan Frommer, points out, Netflix now has more customers than AOL ever did.<\/p>\n<p>So the question now becomes: What&#8217;s going to be the next big internet revolution? Or as Frommer (bluntly) puts it, &#8220;What will eventually cause Netflix&#8217;s decline?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Rest assured, it&#8217;s coming&#8230; And, of course, I&#8217;m doing my best to identify the specific disruptive technology early for you. So stay tuned.<\/p>\n<p><b>The Most Surprising Economic Development&#8230; Ever?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>I alerted you to this <a target=\"_blank\" title=\"Friday Charts: Ballmer\u2019s Biggest Blunders and the Next $1,000 Stock\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/08\/30\/steve-ballmer-microsoft-msft\/\">surprising trend<\/a> a few weeks ago.<\/p>\n<p>Basically, economies in developed nations are starting to accelerate, while economies in emerging markets are heading in the opposite direction.<\/p>\n<p>This chart puts it all in perspective:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0913_GlobalEconomy.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"377\" \/><\/p>\n<p>So much for emerging markets being a &#8220;sure-thing&#8221; investment, huh?<\/p>\n<p>Of course, if you&#8217;re in the mood to make a contrarian bet on emerging markets &#8211; one with absolutely zero downside risk &#8211; you should check out the latest issue of <em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/pro1.wsdinsider.com\/146810\/\">WSD Insider<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s it for this week. Before you go, though, let us know what you think of this weekly column &#8211; or any of our recent work at <em>Wall Street Daily<\/em> &#8211; by going <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/customer-feedback\/\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Louis Basenese<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/09\/13\/bond-investing-emerging-markets\/\">The State of the World Economy in One Chart<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Article By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Original Article: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/09\/13\/bond-investing-emerging-markets\/\">The State of the World Economy in One Chart<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com The complexity of global economies and the financial market can make it difficult to simply understand what&#8217;s going on, let alone make investment decisions based on the prevailing conditions. Not today, though. Just like every Friday in the Wall Street Daily Nation, we&#8217;re letting some carefully selected charts do the talking for us. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/09\/13\/the-state-of-the-world-economy-in-one-chart\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The State of the World Economy in One Chart&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41957","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41957","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41957"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41957\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41957"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41957"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41957"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}