{"id":40860,"date":"2013-08-09T18:26:03","date_gmt":"2013-08-09T22:26:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=40860"},"modified":"2013-08-09T18:26:03","modified_gmt":"2013-08-09T22:26:03","slug":"non-u-s-central-banks-action-the-best-news-for-the-u-s-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/08\/09\/non-u-s-central-banks-action-the-best-news-for-the-u-s-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"Non-U.S. Central Banks\u2019 Action the Best News for the U.S. Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>www.CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a> <!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;   0  0  1  536  3061  PNCN  25  7  3590  14.0 &lt;![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;   Normal  0          false  false  false    EN-US  JA  X-NONE                                                                       &lt;![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    &lt;![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 10]&gt; \/* Style Definitions *\/ table.MsoNormalTable  {mso-style-name:\"Table Normal\";  mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0;  mso-tstyle-colband-size:0;  mso-style-noshow:yes;  mso-style-priority:99;  mso-style-parent:\"\";  mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;  mso-para-margin-top:0in;  mso-para-margin-right:0in;  mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt;  mso-para-margin-left:0in;  line-height:115%;  mso-pagination:widow-orphan;  font-size:11.0pt;  font-family:Calibri;  mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;  mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;  mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;  mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} &lt;![endif]-->   <!--StartFragment--> <\/p>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%\">&nbsp; &nbsp; (Following article is written by Mitchell Clark, B. Comm. of For Profit Confidential for Central Bank News, which occasionally carries articles by guest contributors if they are of interest to our readers)<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%\">&nbsp; &nbsp; By&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%\">&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/author\/mitchell-clark\/\">Mitchell Clark, B.Comm<\/a>.<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%\">&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%\">For Profit Confidential<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><span style=\"line-height: 18px\">&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span>The<\/span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/stock-market\/\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">stock market<\/a><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">is such a selfish system, looking only to satisfy its short-term need for capital gains.&nbsp;<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The stock market\u2019s initial reaction to better-than-expected jobless claims and further monetary stimulus from the European<\/span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/central-bank\/\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Central Bank<\/a><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">, the Bank of England, and<\/span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/china\/\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">China<\/a><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">\u2019s central bank was met with selling.&nbsp;<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The initial sell-off was based on the stock market\u2019s interpretation that more action from foreign central banks would make it less likely the Federal Reserve would engage in further<\/span><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/monetary-stimulus\/\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">monetary stimulus<\/a><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">. &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The stock market sure is fickle and, for the most part, irrational.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; Over the years, I\u2019ve really noticed a dramatic, unofficial appeasement by the Federal Reserve of the needs of the stock market and Wall Street. Monetary stimulus and general policy action (especially in recent years due to the financial crisis) seem much more tailored to Wall Street than Main Street. It\u2019s why there is much less affinity for the workings of the central bank.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; I wrote before that it was increasingly likely that the Federal Reserve would impart some further monetary stimulus. (See \u201c<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/economic-analysis\/the-stock-market-and-investor-sentiment-tank-qe3-anyone\/\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">The Stock Market and Investor Sentiment Tank\u2014QE3 Anyone?<\/a><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">\u201d)&nbsp;<\/span><br \/><a name='more'><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The central bank will have to act soon or wait until after the election so as not to seem partial. In the end, all of the monetary stimulus to date has helped only a little bit, as the overleveraging in the housing market just needs more time to work itself out. All of the problems on Main Street are because the U.S. housing market burst.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; At the end of the day, monetary stimulus abroad is likely to be more helpful than further monetary stimulus by the Federal Reserve. The money supply has already been increased dramatically, and interest rates can\u2019t really go any lower to make a difference.&nbsp;<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The stock market, of course, is naturally only looking out for its own needs, like a child in a candy store with indulgent parents. On balance, further monetary stimulus by the U.S. central bank would help the stock market on a very short-term basis, but would do more harm in the long run. Too much stimulus is exactly how the U.S. economy got overleveraged in the first place.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The stock market is currently trading at an appropriate level, given current earnings expectations and visibility. The marketplace needs corporate earnings as a new catalyst for trading action. There was a time when some argued that investors (and corporations) shouldn\u2019t put so much emphasis on quarterly earnings results, but I disagree.&nbsp;<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The stock market needs to get the real picture on business conditions as often and as accurately as possible, and a quarterly earnings season is just about the perfect frequency of financial reporting as far as I\u2019m concerned.<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; I think the stock market is poised to go higher and investor sentiment has improved significantly from the recent correction. In my view, the U.S. economy does not require further monetary stimulus; it requires more time for the housing market to balance itself out. More monetary stimulus from other central banks, however, would be best for the creation of a new upward business cycle in the U.S. economy.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<p><!--EndFragment--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By www.CentralBankNews.info &nbsp; &nbsp; (Following article is written by Mitchell Clark, B. Comm. of For Profit Confidential for Central Bank News, which occasionally carries articles by guest contributors if they are of interest to our readers) &nbsp; &nbsp; By&nbsp;&nbsp;Mitchell Clark, B.Comm.&nbsp;For Profit Confidential &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;The&nbsp;stock market&nbsp;is such a selfish system, looking only to satisfy its &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/08\/09\/non-u-s-central-banks-action-the-best-news-for-the-u-s-economy\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Non-U.S. Central Banks\u2019 Action the Best News for the U.S. Economy&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40860"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40860\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}