{"id":40107,"date":"2013-07-17T01:51:50","date_gmt":"2013-07-17T05:51:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=40107"},"modified":"2013-07-17T01:51:50","modified_gmt":"2013-07-17T05:51:50","slug":"how-to-make-sense-of-this-mixed-up-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/07\/17\/how-to-make-sense-of-this-mixed-up-market\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Make Sense of This Mixed-Up Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Profit Confidential<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/real-estate-market\/how-to-make-sense-of-this-mixed-up-market\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-40234\" alt=\"Home Prices\" src=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/160713_PC_leong.jpg\" width=\"206\" height=\"139\" \/><\/a>The current market action will soon turn to selling. I\u2019ve come to that conclusion because what the current stock market is doing is really not normal, and a correction will certainly come.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">I\u2019m not saying the end is near. In fact, I feel there are more gains to come, but the ride will likely be bumpy and riddled with risk.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">When I objectively evaluate the market, I see many stocks, even those that have horrible fundamentals, rising to levels that just don\u2019t make any sense to me.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">I\u2019m actually perplexed. The higher market trading has proven to be much more sustainable than I thought it would be at the end of the first quarter. You can thank the Federal Reserve for a boost in your 401(k).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The new records set last Wednesday by the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average were really not warranted. Or at least not yet, unless the economic recovery picks up and corporate America delivers strong revenue and earnings growth and not the diluted results that have kept Wall Street happy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Because of the Street\u2019s reduced expectations, I would expect companies to report some blow-away quarters. We will see for sure when the earnings parade picks up starting this week. Don\u2019t just settle for an inline or slightly better-than-expected quarter. If there\u2019s any real growth, you\u2019ll see much more.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">And then there\u2019s the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/housing-sector\/\" target=\"_blank\">housing sector<\/a>, which will be in the limelight tomorrow when the housing starts and building permits readings for June are released. We saw some stalling in the housing sector in May, so it will be interesting to see if the housing sector continues to stall or renew its growth.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Then there are the home prices across the nation. The S&amp;P Case-Shiller Home Price Index has been on a nice rally since early 2012 as reflected in the following chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HPI-S-and-P-Case-Shiller-Home-price-Index.bmp\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-40232\" alt=\"HPI S and P Case-Shiller Home price Index\" src=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HPI-S-and-P-Case-Shiller-Home-price-Index.bmp\" width=\"551\" height=\"248\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\" align=\"center\"><i>Chart courtesy of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">www.StockCharts.com<\/a><\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Despite the steady rise, home prices continue to be well below their peak in 2006, which, of course, was driven by easy money and the subprime mortgage fiasco in the housing sector, when the banks were lending out money to anyone and everyone who wanted a house.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The housing sector has improved since then, but there\u2019s still some froth in the current housing market, given the advance as shown in the chart below:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/XHB-SPDR-S-and-P-Homebuilders-Index-ETF-NYSE.jpg\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-40233\" alt=\"XHB SPDR S and P Homebuilders Index ETF NYSE\" src=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/XHB-SPDR-S-and-P-Homebuilders-Index-ETF-NYSE.jpg\" width=\"552\" height=\"248\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\" align=\"center\"><i>Chart courtesy of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.stockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">www.StockCharts.com<\/a><\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Note the recent upside gap as indicated by the blue oval in the chart of the SPDR S&amp;P Homebuilders Index above. It appears housing sector stocks want to push higher after the correction in May and June, but I really do expect to see resistance, based on my technical analysis. I still feel the best gains in the housing sector are behind us for now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">At these current levels, I would be a seller in the housing sector\u2014not a buyer.<\/p>\n<p> Article by <a href=\"http:\/\/profitconfidential.com\/\">profitconfidential.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Profit Confidential The current market action will soon turn to selling. I\u2019ve come to that conclusion because what the current stock market is doing is really not normal, and a correction will certainly come. I\u2019m not saying the end is near. In fact, I feel there are more gains to come, but the ride &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/07\/17\/how-to-make-sense-of-this-mixed-up-market\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;How to Make Sense of This Mixed-Up Market&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40107","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40107"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40107\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40107"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40107"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40107"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}