{"id":39400,"date":"2013-06-27T23:22:42","date_gmt":"2013-06-28T03:22:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=39400"},"modified":"2013-06-27T23:22:42","modified_gmt":"2013-06-28T03:22:42","slug":"why-your-financial-advisor-wont-like-this-investment-advice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/06\/27\/why-your-financial-advisor-wont-like-this-investment-advice\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Your Financial Advisor Won\u2019t Like This Investment Advice\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

By MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a> <\/p>\n

We won\u2019t say we told you so\u2026OK, yes we will: we told you so.<\/p>\n

Over the past few weeks most of the talk around the financial markets<\/a> has been how bad things are\u2026how the sky is falling in.<\/p>\n

\u2018The yield rally is over\u2019, \u2018Sell in May and go away\u2019, \u2018Stocks will never go up again\u2019.<\/p>\n

Yawn. Let\u2019s get a few things straight: the yield rally isn\u2019t over; buying in May over the long term is actually better than not buying stocks at all; and that\u2019s right, stocks are going back up again.<\/p>\n

Our old nemesis, Commonwealth Bank of Australia [ASX: CBA]<\/strong> is now only about 5% from its peak. Odds are investors will begin playing the relative value game again soon, so that the other banks and dividend payers will return to their May highs.<\/p>\n

Look, we\u2019re not saying investing<\/strong> is easy. It\u2019s far from that. We\u2019re just saying that the investing environment has changed in recent years. And if you don\u2019t concede that and adapt to it, you\u2019re heading for a world of missed opportunities that could make a big difference to your retirement\u2026<\/p>\n

But what exactly do we mean when we say investing has changed? The following illustrations should explain everything. This is how investing used to work:<\/p>\n

\"Old
\n Source: Port Phillip Publishing<\/em>
\n OK. That’s a bit of a simplification. But that was pretty much everything in a nutshell.<\/p>\n

Yes, you still had to consider interest rates. After all, the two things that move share prices are earnings and interest rates<\/a>.<\/p>\n

But the actions of the central bank really were a secondary thought. Over the past 15 years, and especially the past five years, that has changed.<\/p>\n

Now investing looks more like this:
\n \"New
\n Source: Port Phillip Publishing<\/em><\/p>\n

Now it\u2019s not just forecasting earnings, you need to think about the impact that will have on the market\u2026and what impact that will have on the central banks\u2026and what impact that will have on the market\u2026and the impact that will have on earnings.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a vicious circle and a huge bind for investors. The natural reaction is to think, \u2018Why bother? It\u2019s all too hard.\u2019<\/p>\n

But we take the opposite view. Rather than trying to make sense of the ridiculous, we\u2019re simply turning back the investing clock. We know it\u2019s impossible to guess exactly how the markets will react to a Fed statement or an economic release.<\/p>\n

So instead, we\u2019ve gone old school\u2026we\u2019ve bucked the trend by forgetting about central bankers and policy makers. We\u2019ve gone back to analysing individual companies\u2026<\/p>\n

Going Old School With Your Investing<\/h2>\n

If you ask most financial advisors they’ll tell you the best place to put your money during market volatility is in the biggest and best blue-chip stocks<\/a>.<\/p>\n

To some extent we can’t argue with that. We’ve long said that you should have around 20% of your investments in dividend-paying stocks<\/a>.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s great because it means the dividend stocks will pay you to hold them even if you don\u2019t get capital growth. During the past few months we told you to buy more dividend stocks, even though most folks said dividend stocks were a bubble.<\/p>\n

However, dividend stocks are the only blue-chip stocks we\u2019d hold for the long-term during a volatile market. Because as the past year has shown you, blue-chip growth stocks aren\u2019t immune from big falls.<\/p>\n

It means that investors who invested for the perceived \u2018safety\u2019 of blue-chip stocks are nursing some big losses. The better approach is to look at the opposite end of the risk scale.<\/p>\n

Doing the Opposite to What You\u2019ve Always Thought<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

That means looking at speculative stocks. They could be small-cap<\/a>, mid-cap or large-cap stocks, it doesn’t matter.<\/p>\n

The idea is that you’re looking for the biggest bang for your buck. Think about it: what’s the best you can hope for with a blue-chip growth stock? 10%? 20%?<\/p>\n

Look, it’s possible you could double your money with a blue-chip growth stock. But we’re prepared to bet against that in this environment.<\/p>\n

That’s simply because big blue-chip stocks rely more on interest rates, central bank and government policies. They also have an established customer base they need to maintain. Even a slight economic downturn can turn a profit into a loss.<\/p>\n

But at the other end of the scale, among the speculative stocks, it’s a different story. Most of these companies don’t have any revenue or profits to lose.<\/p>\n

Or if they do they’re still at such an early stage of development that the growth potential far exceeds the risk of a loss.<\/p>\n

We\u2019re talking about companies working on a breakthrough in regenerative medicine that \u2018turns back the clock\u2019 on your body, or a company that could revolutionise the manufacturing sector and destroy China\u2019s dominance.<\/p>\n

Think about it this way. You could either have a bunch of your cash at risk by punting on a 20–30% gain on a blue-chip growth stock, or you could keep most of your cash (relatively) safe in the bank and just use a small part of it to punt on high-risk stocks that could bag you a gain of 100%, 200% or 500%<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Don’t Vegetate, Speculate<\/h2>\n

In short, it’s about risk versus reward and doing what you can to reduce your exposure to central bank influence.<\/p>\n

The way we see it, if a medical or technology company breaks through with a revolutionary new idea<\/a> it will have a big impact on the share price regardless of the broader macro-economic environment.<\/p>\n

You can’t necessarily say the same thing about blue-chip growth stocks.<\/p>\n

We admit this is a controversial view. Most financial advisors will disagree with this approach. But the reality is that investors can’t afford to invest in the conventional way in this volatile market. And neither can they afford to avoid the market completely.<\/p>\n

The market volatility you see today will still be around in 10 years. Ask yourself, can you really afford to sit out of the stock market for that long? And as for the alternatives, a pile of cash or gold won’t build you a lasting retirement fortune<\/a>.<\/p>\n

As we\u2019ve shown you before, the best way to build lasting wealth is to invest in businesses. The only point remaining is in which businesses should you invest?
\nWe\u2019ve stated our view. In a market dominated by central bankers and policy makers the best way to grow your wealth is to avoid the markets most influenced by them.<\/p>\n

The best way we can put it is this: Don’t Vegetate, Speculate<\/em>.<\/p>\n

Cheers,
\n Kris<\/strong>+<\/a><\/p>\n

From the Port Phillip Publishing Library<\/em><\/strong> <\/p>\n

Special Report: Panic of 2103<\/a><\/p>\n

Daily Reckoning:<\/em> <\/strong>The Best Way to Invest in a Volatile Market<\/a> <\/strong><\/p>\n

Money Morning<\/em>: Is This Your Last Chance to Sell Before the Stock Market Sinks?<\/a> <\/strong><\/p>\n

Pursuit of Happiness:<\/em> Is Technology the Most Exciting Industry in the World?<\/a> <\/p>\n

[Ed note:<\/strong> Not everyone agrees with my view that it’s a great time to buy stocks. But that doesn’t mean I’ll censor opposing views. All I ask from contributors to Money Morning<\/em> is that they provide a well-thought out and well-argued view. It’s then up to you<\/strong> as a free-thinking adult to decide which view makes more sense and then to act accordingly. Today our new regular contributor and family wealth expert, Vern Gowdie, takes the floor with his thoughts on the market…]<\/p>\n

\n<\/img><\/a> <\/img><\/a> <\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By MoneyMorning.com.au We won\u2019t say we told you so\u2026OK, yes we will: we told you so. Over the past few weeks most of the talk around the financial markets has been how bad things are\u2026how the sky is falling in. \u2018The yield rally is over\u2019, \u2018Sell in May and go away\u2019, \u2018Stocks will never go … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Why Your Financial Advisor Won\u2019t Like This Investment Advice\u2026”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39400"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39400\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}