{"id":39321,"date":"2013-06-26T11:09:41","date_gmt":"2013-06-26T15:09:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=39321"},"modified":"2013-06-26T11:16:46","modified_gmt":"2013-06-26T15:16:46","slug":"why-timing-will-be-critical-to-take-advantage-of-coming-market-swings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/06\/26\/why-timing-will-be-critical-to-take-advantage-of-coming-market-swings\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Timing Will Be Critical to Take Advantage of Coming Market Swings"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Profit Confidential<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/stock-market\/why-timing-will-be-critical-to-take-advantage-of-coming-market-swings\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-40081\" title=\"Why Timing Will Be Critical to Take Advantage of Coming Market Swings\" alt=\"Why Timing Will Be Critical to Take Advantage of Coming Market Swings\" src=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/260613_PC_leong.jpg\" width=\"164\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a>The major stock indices started the week with another downward blast, just as I had warned.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">You shouldn\u2019t be surprised; in fact, it was more obvious as the stock market traded higher and higher (sometimes for no reason) that a time of reckoning was on the horizon. Even at a 5% discount in the recent months, I was still hesitant to jump into the stock market with reckless abandon. (Read \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/stock-market\/buyer-beware-stocks-may-be-signaling-more-weakness-to-come\/\" target=\"_blank\">Buyer Beware: Stocks May Be Signaling More Weakness to Come<\/a>.\u201d)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Now with the 7% correction in the S&amp;P 500, my senses are beginning to tingle, but I\u2019m still not ready to join the market yet. Recall my recent dinner with my investment manager friend (see \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/stock-market\/wine-steak-and-the-state-of-the-u-s-stock-market\/\" target=\"_blank\">Wine, Steak, and the State of the U.S. Economy<\/a>\u201d). I came away from that dinner thinking my friend was expecting a major correction in the stock market and was buying put options as a hedge. Well, the stock market could be in the midst of a major correction.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">If stocks don\u2019t settle down and find a place to pause, it could easily translate into more losses. A 10% adjustment is possible. I would love to see a more significant correction, as I would then be looking more seriously at nipping the stock market.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The Federal Reserve created this current <a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/stock-market\/\" target=\"_blank\">stock market<\/a> drama. But don\u2019t forget\u2014you also owe Fed chairman Ben Bernanke a big \u201cthank you\u201d for the money you\u2019ve made over the past few years.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Let\u2019s go back to a chart of the S&amp;P 500 that I first created in May (featured below). Note the purple ovals that pointed to a correction. I was quite concerned about the advancement this year and said it was not sustainable at the same pace. Now take a look at the current deterioration on the chart, highlighted by the selling that has driven down the S&amp;P 500 by more than 110 points from its peak in May.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/SP-500-Large-Cap-Index-Chart.jpg\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-40082 aligncenter\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 Large Cap Index Chart\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Large Cap Index Chart\" src=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/SP-500-Large-Cap-Index-Chart.jpg\" width=\"557\" height=\"248\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\" align=\"center\"><i>Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com<\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The 1,550 level appears to offer some support, but failure to hold here could see the index become vulnerable to dropping below 1,500.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">The chart below shows the downward move of the S&amp;P 500 stocks that had been above their respective 200-day moving averages. The reading was in excess of 93% during its peak in May, but it has since collapsed to below 80%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/SP-500-Percent-of-Stocks-Chart.jpg\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-40083 aligncenter\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 Percent of Stocks Chart\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Percent of Stocks Chart\" src=\"http:\/\/www.profitconfidential.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/SP-500-Percent-of-Stocks-Chart.jpg\" width=\"557\" height=\"248\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\" align=\"center\">\u00a0<i>Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com<\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Over the next few weeks, the key will be to see how the stock market behaves and whether the so-called \u201cbargain hunters\u201d start to surface.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">I would rather just take a seat and wait for potentially more selling before jumping in. The fact is that there will be opportunities to make money on the market swings to be sure.<\/p>\n<p> Article by <a href=\"http:\/\/profitconfidential.com\/\">profitconfidential.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Profit Confidential The major stock indices started the week with another downward blast, just as I had warned. You shouldn\u2019t be surprised; in fact, it was more obvious as the stock market traded higher and higher (sometimes for no reason) that a time of reckoning was on the horizon. Even at a 5% discount &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/06\/26\/why-timing-will-be-critical-to-take-advantage-of-coming-market-swings\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why Timing Will Be Critical to Take Advantage of Coming Market Swings&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39321","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39321"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39321\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}