{"id":39018,"date":"2013-06-14T01:38:40","date_gmt":"2013-06-14T05:38:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=39018"},"modified":"2013-06-14T01:38:40","modified_gmt":"2013-06-14T05:38:40","slug":"the-scariest-real-estate-chart-in-all-the-land","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/06\/14\/the-scariest-real-estate-chart-in-all-the-land\/","title":{"rendered":"The Scariest Real Estate Chart in All the Land"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re tired of living in a chronic state of &#8220;information overload,&#8221; we feel you!<\/p>\n<p>It seems that the deluge of investment news and commentary never ceases.<\/p>\n<p>The good news? We&#8217;re here to help.<\/p>\n<p>Following the adage that &#8220;a picture is worth a thousand words,&#8221; each Friday I select a handful of charts to put some key economic and investment insights into perspective for you.<\/p>\n<p>So say &#8220;goodbye&#8221; to long-winded commentary, and &#8220;hello&#8221; to easy-to-understand pictures.<\/p>\n<p><strong>If You Can&#8217;t Beat &#8216;Em&#8230; Quit?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Poor, poor hedge fund managers&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve chronicled their inability to outperform the S&amp;P 500 Index <em>and <\/em>lowly mutual fund managers twice before (see <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/05\/24\/hedge-funds-bernanke-tornadoes\/\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/03\/08\/best-worst-investments\/\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>But instead of staying in the battle to the bitter end, it looks like they&#8217;re waving the white flag of surrender.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">\u00a0<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0613_QuittersNever.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The latest report from <strong>Bank of America&#8217;s<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=NYSE%3ABAC&amp;ei=7BW6UYj8N-yx0QHf7gE\">BAC<\/a>) Equity Strategist, Savita Subramanian, reveals that hedge fund clients were the biggest sellers last week.<\/p>\n<p>Now, don&#8217;t freak out and think this indicates that the &#8220;smart money&#8221; smells a correction on the horizon. It&#8217;s only one week&#8217;s worth of money flows. And we&#8217;re only talking about Bank of America&#8217;s hedge fund clients. Not <em>all <\/em>hedge funds.<\/p>\n<p>If a mass exodus were truly underway, we&#8217;d notice an uptick in short interest. After all, hedge fund managers don&#8217;t get paid to sit in cash. But that&#8217;s not happening.<\/p>\n<p>At all.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">\u00a0<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0613_GettingShorty.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In the second half of May, short interest as a percentage of float in the S&amp;P 1500 Index dropped to 5.5%. That&#8217;s the lowest level in over five years. So stay calm and stay long. Speaking of staying calm&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Is the Real Estate Recovery Doomed?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sound the alarm bells! The real estate recovery is doomed.<\/p>\n<p>Why? Because 30-year mortgage rates just went vertical.<\/p>\n<p>Four weeks ago, the average interest rate stood at 3.71%. Now it&#8217;s up to 4.14%, according to the latest national survey by Bankrate.com.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0613_Borrowing.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>If this torrid climb continues, demand is going to dry up in a New York second, right?<\/p>\n<p>Wrong!<\/p>\n<p>Mortgage applications actually <em>rose<\/em> 4.7% last week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. So the higher rates aren&#8217;t derailing demand one bit. Not yet, at least.<\/p>\n<p>And that &#8220;yet&#8221; probably won&#8217;t come any time soon, either.<\/p>\n<p>Remember, back in the real estate heydays of 2006, interest rates stood at about 6.5%. And that didn&#8217;t curb buyers&#8217; enthusiasm one bit.<\/p>\n<p>This time won&#8217;t be any different, especially since affordability remains near historic lows &#8211; and inventories remain depressed, too.<\/p>\n<p>So stay calm and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/05\/22\/real-estate-recovery-3\/\" target=\"_blank\">stay long the real estate recovery<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s it for this week. Before you go, though, let us know what you think of this weekly column &#8211; or any of our recent work at <em>Wall Street Daily<\/em> &#8211; by sending an email to <a href=\"mailto:feedback@wallstreetdaily.com\" target=\"_blank\">feedback@wallstreetdaily.com<\/a> or leaving a comment on our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">website<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Louis Basenese<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/06\/14\/real-estate-mortgage-rates\/\">The Scariest Real Estate Chart in All the Land<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\">&nbsp;| Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Article By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Original Article: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/06\/14\/real-estate-mortgage-rates\/\">The Scariest Real Estate Chart in All the Land<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com If you&#8217;re tired of living in a chronic state of &#8220;information overload,&#8221; we feel you! It seems that the deluge of investment news and commentary never ceases. The good news? We&#8217;re here to help. Following the adage that &#8220;a picture is worth a thousand words,&#8221; each Friday I select a handful of charts &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/06\/14\/the-scariest-real-estate-chart-in-all-the-land\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The Scariest Real Estate Chart in All the Land&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39018","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39018","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39018"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39018\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39018"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39018"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39018"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}