{"id":37690,"date":"2013-04-20T09:22:58","date_gmt":"2013-04-20T13:22:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=37690"},"modified":"2013-04-20T09:22:58","modified_gmt":"2013-04-20T13:22:58","slug":"why-is-the-media-not-reporting-this-positive-gold-story","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/20\/why-is-the-media-not-reporting-this-positive-gold-story\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Is the Media Not reporting This Positive Gold Story?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Bill Bonner<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Uh-oh&#8230; We&#8217;ve got good news and bad news. But you&#8217;ll have to figure out which is which.<\/p>\n<p>We also have what is probably the most important thing you will read this year&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday, the Dow fell again \u2013 81 points. Gold went up \u2013 by almost<br \/>\n$10 per ounce. Gold does not seem inclined to go down much more&#8230; at<br \/>\nleast, not immediately. And though some big players seem to be dumping<br \/>\ngold \u2013 we won&#8217;t mention any names \u2013 most of the gold orders are buys,<br \/>\nnot sells.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s Paul Tustain, CEO of physical <a title=\"A Gold Bull's Broken Confidence? Not Just Yet\" href=\"http:\/\/aheadoftheherd.com\/2013Articles\/BullionVault\/A-gold-bulls-broken-confidence-Not-just-yet.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>gold storage business BullionVault<\/strong><\/a>, on <a title=\"This Gold Bug Ain't For Turning!\" href=\"http:\/\/www.billbonnersdiary.com\/articles\/bonner-direction-change.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>gold&#8217;s recent correction<\/strong><\/a>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>[H]ere are some BullionVault<br \/>\nstatistics from the last few days, which I think offer a useful<br \/>\nreminder about how markets work. Remember, first of all, that for<br \/>\nall those people who sold in a bit of a panic, someone bought.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>1. Monday and Tuesday were our strongest 48-hour period for new customers this year.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>2. Since Friday, the gross value of<br \/>\ncustomer bullion sales increased markedly. About 1% of gold we look<br \/>\nafter was sold back to the main market. That was characterized by a few<br \/>\nlarge sellers. Holders of 99% of BullionVault inventory were not<br \/>\npanicked.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>3. Those who did sell have mostly<br \/>\nnot withdrawn their cash from the BullionVault system. To me, that<br \/>\nsuggests they may be intending to buy back into gold sooner rather than<br \/>\nlater.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>4. We normally have about 230<br \/>\ndeposits a day (300 on a Monday) and about 100 withdrawals a day (120 on<br \/>\na Monday). Mondays are usually higher because they include weekend<br \/>\nactivity. On Monday, we had 723 deposits versus 284 withdrawals. On<br \/>\nTuesday, we had 732 deposits versus 150 withdrawals.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>5. Monday was a record day for business transacted, beating the previous peak of September 2011.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\">Candy for the Mind<\/h3>\n<p>And now&#8230; here&#8217;s why you really shouldn&#8217;t pay attention to any news.<br \/>\nIt&#8217;s &#8220;public information&#8221; \u2013 with little integrity, little quality and<br \/>\nlittle usefulness.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s our friend, the Swiss novelist Rolf Dobelli.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>News is bad for you. It&#8217;s like sugar.<br \/>\nIt gives you a rush. It&#8217;s a distraction from your own concerns. It&#8217;s<br \/>\neasy to digest. But this &#8220;candy for the mind&#8221; can be toxic.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>In the past few decades, the fortunate<br \/>\namong us have recognized the hazards of living with an overabundance of<br \/>\nfood (obesity, diabetes) and have started to change our diets. But most<br \/>\nof us do not yet understand that news is to the mind what sugar is to<br \/>\nthe body.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>News is easy to digest. The media feeds<br \/>\nus small bites of trivial matter, tidbits that don&#8217;t really concern our<br \/>\nlives and don&#8217;t require thinking. That&#8217;s why we experience almost no<br \/>\nsaturation. Unlike reading books and long magazine articles (which<br \/>\nrequire thinking), we can swallow limitless quantities of news flashes,<br \/>\nwhich are bright-colored candies for the mind.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Today, we have reached the same point<br \/>\nin relation to information that we faced 20 years ago in regard to food.<br \/>\nWe are beginning to recognize how toxic news can be.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Misleads<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Take the following event (borrowed from<br \/>\nNassim Taleb). A car drives over a bridge, and the bridge collapses.<br \/>\nWhat does the news media focus on? The car. The person in the car. Where<br \/>\nhe came from. Where he planned to go. How he experienced the crash (if<br \/>\nhe survived). But that is all irrelevant. What&#8217;s relevant? The<br \/>\nstructural stability of the bridge.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>That&#8217;s the underlying risk that has<br \/>\nbeen lurking and could lurk in other bridges. But the car is flashy,<br \/>\nit&#8217;s dramatic, it&#8217;s a person (non-abstract), and it&#8217;s news that&#8217;s cheap<br \/>\nto produce. News leads us to walk around with the completely wrong risk<br \/>\nmap in our heads. So terrorism is overrated. Chronic stress is<br \/>\nunderrated. The collapse of Lehman Brothers is overrated. Fiscal<br \/>\nirresponsibility is underrated. Astronauts are overrated. Nurses are<br \/>\nunderrated.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>We are not rational enough to be<br \/>\nexposed to the press. Watching an airplane crash on television is going<br \/>\nto change your attitude toward that risk, regardless of its real<br \/>\nprobability. If you think you can compensate with the strength of your<br \/>\nown inner contemplation, you are wrong. Bankers and economists \u2013 who<br \/>\nhave powerful incentives to compensate for news-borne hazards \u2013 have<br \/>\nshown that they cannot. The only solution: Cut yourself off from news<br \/>\nconsumption entirely.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Is Irrelevant<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Out of the approximately 10,000 news<br \/>\nstories you have read in the last 12 months, name one that \u2013 because you<br \/>\nconsumed it \u2013 allowed you to make a better decision about a serious<br \/>\nmatter affecting your life, your career or your business. The point is:<br \/>\nThe consumption of news is irrelevant to you. But people find it very<br \/>\ndifficult to recognize what&#8217;s relevant. It&#8217;s much easier to recognize<br \/>\nwhat&#8217;s new. The relevant versus the new is the fundamental battle of the<br \/>\ncurrent age.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Media organizations want you to believe<br \/>\nthat news offers you some sort of a competitive advantage. Many fall<br \/>\nfor that. We get anxious when we&#8217;re cut off from the flow of news. In<br \/>\nreality, news consumption is a competitive disadvantage. The less news<br \/>\nyou consume, the bigger the advantage you have.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Has No Explanatory Power<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>News items are bubbles popping on the<br \/>\nsurface of a deeper world. Will accumulating facts help you understand<br \/>\nthe world? Sadly, no. The relationship is inverted. The important<br \/>\nstories are non-stories: slow, powerful movements that develop below<br \/>\njournalists&#8217; radar but have a transforming effect. The more &#8220;news<br \/>\nfactoids&#8221; you digest, the less of the big picture you will understand.<br \/>\nIf more information leads to higher economic success, we&#8217;d expect<br \/>\njournalists to be at the top of the pyramid. That&#8217;s not the case.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Is Toxic to the Body<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>It constantly triggers the limbic<br \/>\nsystem. Panicky stories spur the release of cascades of glucocorticoid<br \/>\n(cortisol). This deregulates your immune system and inhibits the release<br \/>\nof growth hormones. In other words, your body finds itself in a state<br \/>\nof chronic stress. High glucocorticoid levels cause impaired digestion,<br \/>\nlack of growth (cell, hair, bone), nervousness and susceptibility to<br \/>\ninfections. The other potential side effects include fear, aggression,<br \/>\ntunnel vision and desensitization.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Increases Cognitive Errors<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>News feeds the mother of all cognitive<br \/>\nerrors: confirmation bias. In the words of Warren Buffett: &#8220;What the<br \/>\nhuman being is best at doing is interpreting all new information so that<br \/>\ntheir prior conclusions remain intact.&#8221; News exacerbates this flaw. We<br \/>\nbecome prone to overconfidence, take stupid risks and misjudge<br \/>\nopportunities. It also exacerbates another cognitive error: the story<br \/>\nbias. Our brains crave stories that &#8220;make sense&#8221; \u2013 even if they don&#8217;t<br \/>\ncorrespond to reality. Any journalist who writes, &#8220;The market moved<br \/>\nbecause of X&#8221; or &#8220;The company went bankrupt because of Y&#8221; is an idiot. I<br \/>\nam fed up with this cheap way of &#8220;explaining&#8221; the world.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Inhibits Thinking<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em><a title=\"Thou Shalt Not Drop Money From Helicopters\" href=\"http:\/\/www.billbonnersdiary.com\/articles\/bonner-market-logic.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Thinking requires concentration<\/strong><\/a>.<br \/>\nConcentration requires uninterrupted time. News pieces are specifically<br \/>\nengineered to interrupt you. They are like viruses that steal attention<br \/>\nfor their own purposes. News makes us shallow thinkers.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>But it&#8217;s worse than that. News severely<br \/>\naffects memory. There are two types of memory. Long-range memory&#8217;s<br \/>\ncapacity is nearly infinite, but working memory is limited to a certain<br \/>\namount of slippery data. The path from short-term to long-term memory is<br \/>\na choke point in the brain, but anything you want to understand must<br \/>\npass through it. If this passageway is disrupted, nothing gets through.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Because news disrupts concentration, it<br \/>\nweakens comprehension. Online news has an even worse impact. In a 2001<br \/>\nstudy, two scholars in Canada showed that comprehension declines as the<br \/>\nnumber of hyperlinks in a document increases. Why? Because whenever a<br \/>\nlink appears, your brain has to at least make the choice not to click,<br \/>\nwhich in itself is distracting. News is an intentional interruption<br \/>\nsystem.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Works Like a Drug<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>As stories develop, we want to know how<br \/>\nthey continue. With hundreds of arbitrary story lines in our heads,<br \/>\nthis craving is increasingly compelling and hard to ignore.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Scientists used to think that the dense<br \/>\nconnections formed among the 100 billion neurons inside our skulls were<br \/>\nlargely fixed by the time we reached adulthood. Today we know that this<br \/>\nis not the case. Nerve cells routinely break old connections and form<br \/>\nnew ones. The more news we consume, the more we exercise the neural<br \/>\ncircuits devoted to skimming and multitasking while ignoring those used<br \/>\nfor reading deeply and thinking with profound focus.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Most news consumers \u2013 even if they used<br \/>\nto be avid book readers \u2013 have lost the ability to absorb lengthy<br \/>\narticles or books. After four, five pages they get tired, their<br \/>\nconcentration vanishes, they become restless. It&#8217;s not because they got<br \/>\nolder or their schedules became more onerous. It&#8217;s because the physical<br \/>\nstructure of their brains has changed.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Wastes Time<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>If you read the newspaper for 15<br \/>\nminutes each morning, then check the news for 15 minutes during lunch<br \/>\nand 15 minutes before you go to bed, then add five minutes here and<br \/>\nthere when you&#8217;re at work, then count distraction and refocusing time,<br \/>\nyou will lose at least half a day every week. Information is no longer a<br \/>\nscarce commodity. But attention is. You are not that irresponsible with<br \/>\nyour money, reputation or health. Why give away your mind?<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Makes Us Passive<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>News stories are overwhelmingly about<br \/>\nthings you cannot influence. The daily repetition of news about things<br \/>\nwe can&#8217;t act upon makes us passive. It grinds us down until we adopt a<br \/>\nworldview that is pessimistic, desensitized, sarcastic and fatalistic.<br \/>\nThe scientific term is &#8220;learned helplessness.&#8221; It&#8217;s a bit of a stretch,<br \/>\nbut I would not be surprised if news consumption at least partially<br \/>\ncontributes to the widespread disease of depression.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\"><em>News Kills Creativity<\/em><\/h3>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Finally, things we already know limit<br \/>\nour creativity. This is one reason that mathematicians, novelists,<br \/>\ncomposers and entrepreneurs often produce their most creative works at a<br \/>\nyoung age. Their brains enjoy a wide, uninhabited space that emboldens<br \/>\nthem to come up with and pursue novel ideas. I don&#8217;t know a single truly<br \/>\ncreative mind who is a news junkie \u2013 not a writer, not a composer,<br \/>\nmathematician, physician, scientist, musician, designer, architect or<br \/>\npainter.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>On the other hand, I know a bunch of<br \/>\nviciously uncreative minds who consume news like drugs. If you want to<br \/>\ncome up with old solutions, read news. If you are looking for new<br \/>\nsolutions, don&#8217;t.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Society needs journalism \u2013 but in a<br \/>\ndifferent way. Investigative journalism is always relevant. We need<br \/>\nreporting that polices our institutions and uncovers truth. But<br \/>\nimportant findings don&#8217;t have to arrive in the form of news. Long<br \/>\njournal articles and in-depth books are good, too.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>I have now gone without news for four<br \/>\nyears, so I can see, feel and report the effects of this freedom<br \/>\nfirsthand: less disruption, less anxiety, deeper thinking, more time,<br \/>\nmore insights. It&#8217;s not easy, but it&#8217;s worth it.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>[This is an edited extract from an essay first published at <a title=\"dobelli.com\" href=\"http:\/\/dobelli.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>dobelli.com<\/strong><\/a>.]<\/p>\n<p>Regards,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Bill Bonner\" alt=\"Bill Bonner\" src=\"https:\/\/www.insidersstrategygroup.com\/images\/web\/bbonner-sig.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Bill<\/p>\n<p>To learn more about Bill visit his <a title=\"Google +\" href=\"http:\/\/plus.google.com\/u\/0\/101475029560002235418\/posts\" target=\"\">Google+<\/a> page or <a title=\"Bill Bonner's Diary of a Rogue Economist\" href=\"http:\/\/www.billbonnersdiary.com\/about-bill.html\" target=\"\">Bill Bonner&#8217;s Diary<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Bill Bonner Uh-oh&#8230; We&#8217;ve got good news and bad news. But you&#8217;ll have to figure out which is which. We also have what is probably the most important thing you will read this year&#8230; Yesterday, the Dow fell again \u2013 81 points. Gold went up \u2013 by almost $10 per ounce. Gold does not &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/20\/why-is-the-media-not-reporting-this-positive-gold-story\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why Is the Media Not reporting This Positive Gold Story?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37690","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37690","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37690"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37690\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37690"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37690"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37690"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}