{"id":37678,"date":"2013-04-19T02:08:29","date_gmt":"2013-04-19T06:08:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=37678"},"modified":"2013-04-19T02:08:29","modified_gmt":"2013-04-19T06:08:29","slug":"friday-charts-should-we-be-on-high-alert-for-another-banking-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/19\/friday-charts-should-we-be-on-high-alert-for-another-banking-collapse\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday Charts: Should We Be on High Alert for Another Banking Collapse?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>You know the drill by now&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Every Friday, I put on a muzzle and do my best to let a handful of carefully selected charts do the talking for me.<\/p>\n<p>Longtime readers say this is their favorite column of the week. But I think that&#8217;s because they don&#8217;t have to listen to me drone on.<\/p>\n<p>Whatever the case may be, I&#8217;m happy to keep serving up the pretty pictures.<\/p>\n<p>If Warner Wolf were a stock analyst, it&#8217;d be time for him to say, &#8220;Let&#8217;s go to the charts!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Banking Collapse? Not According to This Indicator<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Call it simple paranoia, or battle scars from the Great Recession&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>But whenever the stock market hits the skids for a day or two, like it did in the past week, everyone starts freaking out, assuming that we&#8217;re on the cusp of another major financial collapse.<\/p>\n<p>Chicken Littles!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2012\/09\/21\/dont-fear-another-financial-collapse-until-this-indicator-soars\/\" target=\"_blank\">As I&#8217;ve shared before<\/a>, there&#8217;s a simple and quick way to determine if such fears are justified: Consult the latest prices for credit default swaps (CDS) for banks and brokers.<\/p>\n<p>You&#8217;ll recall, CDS prices reflect the cost to insure against a default. So if there&#8217;s a genuine fear that banks are on the brink, CDS prices should be rising as stock prices are falling.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0413_NothingToFear.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As Bespoke Investment Group reveals, though, that&#8217;s not happening at all. &#8220;Now that the financial sector stocks are experiencing a pullback, our CDS Index has actually declined a little, indicating that the credit markets are not getting more fearful at all.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>You shouldn&#8217;t be, either.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Keep This Yahoo At Arm&#8217;s Length<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After running through five CEOs in five years, it appears that <strong>Yahoo! <\/strong>(<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/finance?q=YHOO&amp;ei=yfxvUaiuCMeM0QHYWg\">YHOO<\/a>) has finally found a good leader in Marissa Mayer. At least in terms of stock price performance.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0413_RevolvingDoor.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Since she took the helm in July 2012, the stock is up over 50%. That means the former internet darling must have regained its mojo, right?<\/p>\n<p>Not exactly.<\/p>\n<p>In the words of Paul Simon, Yahoo!&#8217;s revenue has been &#8220;slip slidin&#8217;&#8221; lower ever since 2009.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0413_DesperateNeed.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Sorry. But lower and lower sales don&#8217;t lead to higher and higher share prices. Not over the long run. So without a revenue reversal, Yahoo!&#8217;s stock is ultimately doomed.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Broken Record Alert!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m getting tired of telling you this, so I know you&#8217;re tired of hearing it: The real estate market is recovering. But this week we got <em>even more<\/em> proof, so I feel obligated to share it.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/wallstreet-research\/charts\/0413_Breakout.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Housing starts rose 7% in March to an annual rate of 1.04 million. That&#8217;s the highest rate since 2008.<\/p>\n<p>What&#8217;s the significance? I&#8217;ll defer to Gennadiy Goldberg, U.S. Strategist at TD Securities. Maybe hearing it from someone besides me will finally convince you to believe it.<\/p>\n<p>Goldberg says, &#8220;Underlying trends remain largely consistent with a gradual housing market recovery&#8230; The ongoing recovery in the housing market will translate into better U.S. growth &#8211; not only via a rebound in construction jobs, but also due to the wealth effect due to rising housing values.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Maybe it&#8217;s just me. But I think I hear an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2012\/05\/01\/silver-linings-in-latest-gdp-figures\/\" target=\"_blank\">echo<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2012\/12\/13\/real-estate-recovery\/\" target=\"_blank\">echo<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s it for today. I&#8217;m sure I&#8217;ve angered or offended someone. So let me have it by sending your comments, biting criticisms and calls for my beheading to <a href=\"mailto:feedback@wallstreetdaily.com\" target=\"_blank\">feedback@wallstreetdaily.com<\/a>. You can also leave a comment on our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">website<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Louis Basenese<\/p>\n<p>Article By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Original Article: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/04\/19\/real-estate-banking-sector-yahoo\/\">Friday Charts: Should We Be on High Alert for Another Banking Collapse?<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com You know the drill by now&#8230; Every Friday, I put on a muzzle and do my best to let a handful of carefully selected charts do the talking for me. Longtime readers say this is their favorite column of the week. But I think that&#8217;s because they don&#8217;t have to listen to me &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/19\/friday-charts-should-we-be-on-high-alert-for-another-banking-collapse\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Friday Charts: Should We Be on High Alert for Another Banking Collapse?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37678","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37678"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37678\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37678"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37678"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37678"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}