{"id":37476,"date":"2013-04-10T23:35:21","date_gmt":"2013-04-11T03:35:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=37476"},"modified":"2013-04-10T23:35:21","modified_gmt":"2013-04-11T03:35:21","slug":"korea-holds-rate-keeps-eye-on-impact-of-geopolitical-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/10\/korea-holds-rate-keeps-eye-on-impact-of-geopolitical-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"Korea holds rate, keeps eye on impact of geopolitical risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>www.CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a> <span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; South Korea&#8217;s central bank held its base rate steady at 2.75 percent, saying the domestic economy is &nbsp;continuing to expand on the back of a recovery in exports and investments but the pace is weak and consumption has declined further, keeping inflation low.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; But the Bank of Korea (BOK), which cut rates twice in 2012 by a total of 50 basis points, said it would &#8220;closely monitor external risk factors and Korea&#8217;s geopolitical risk and any consequent changes in financial and economic conditions.&#8221;<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; Financial markets were split in their expectations to the BOK&#8217;s decision, with a growing number of economists expecting a cut to boost confidence in light of the recent threats from North Korea, the growing competition from Japan and its weaker yen, and the Korean government&#8217;s pressure for the central bank to stimulate the economy to avoid a slowdown in the second half of the year.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The BOK&#8217;s assessment of the economic outlook is largely steady from last month, when it also said it expected the economy to operate below its potential &#8220;for a considerable time, due mostly to the slow recovery of the global economy.&#8221;&nbsp;This month, however, it added that the influence of the weak yen would also contribute to the negative output gap.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Nevertheless, the BOK expects the global economy to sustain its modest recovery, based on continued growth in the U.S. and an improvement in China and emerging markets.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a name='more'><\/a><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; There are still downside risks to the global economy, the BOK said, referring to a delay in the economic recovery in the euro area, which remains sluggish, and the impact of fiscal consolidation in the United States.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The BOK added that stock prices had fallen substantially and the Korean won had &#8220;depreciated significantly&#8221; against the U.S. dollar as foreigners had withdrawn some investment funds in connection with &#8220;the reemergence of euro area risk and with the increase in geopolitical risk in Korea.&#8221;<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; South Korea&#8217;s headline inflation rate has been easing recently and dropped to 1.3 percent in March from 1.4 percent in February and January&#8217;s 1.5 percent, well below the BOK&#8217;s 2.5-3.5 percent range for the 2013-2015 period. Core inflation&nbsp;rose slightly to 1.5 percent in March from 1.3 percent.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; Although inflation remains low due to weak demand, the BOK said it expects inflation to rise as downward pressure from &#8220;institutional factors&#8221; disappear.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp; South Korea&#8217;s economy expanded by 2.0 percent in 2012, down from 2011&#8217;s 3.6 percent, with Gross Domestic Product in the fourth quarter up by 0.3 percent from the third quarter for annual growth rate of 1.5 percent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp;&nbsp; The government recently cut its 2013 growth forecast to 2.3 percent, below the BOK&#8217;s forecast of 2.8 percent from January, and is now planning an additional budget, not only to make up for the expected revenue shortfall but also to add stimulus.<\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: inherit\">&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<span style=\"background-color: white;line-height: 24px\">&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\" style=\"line-height: 24px\" target=\"_blank\"> www.CentralBankNews.info<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"middle_rail\">\n<div id=\"story_body\" style=\"border: 0px;margin: 0px 10px 10px;padding: 0px;vertical-align: baseline\">\n<div class=\"paginated_content clearfix\" style=\"border: 0px;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;vertical-align: baseline\">\n<div class=\"page current\" id=\"_page1\" style=\"border: 0px;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;vertical-align: baseline\">\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By www.CentralBankNews.info &nbsp; &nbsp; South Korea&#8217;s central bank held its base rate steady at 2.75 percent, saying the domestic economy is &nbsp;continuing to expand on the back of a recovery in exports and investments but the pace is weak and consumption has declined further, keeping inflation low.&nbsp; &nbsp; But the Bank of Korea (BOK), which &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/10\/korea-holds-rate-keeps-eye-on-impact-of-geopolitical-risks\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Korea holds rate, keeps eye on impact of geopolitical risks&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37476","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37476"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37476\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}