{"id":37311,"date":"2013-04-05T08:11:48","date_gmt":"2013-04-05T12:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=37311"},"modified":"2013-04-05T08:11:48","modified_gmt":"2013-04-05T12:11:48","slug":"golds-fall-exaggerated-another-big-move-down-will-need-to-break-through-big-support-level","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/05\/golds-fall-exaggerated-another-big-move-down-will-need-to-break-through-big-support-level\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold&#8217;s Fall &#8220;Exaggerated&#8221;, Another Big Move Down &#8220;Will Need to Break Through Big Support Level&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>London Gold Market Report<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>from Ben Traynor<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/BullionVault\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>BullionVault<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\n<strong>Friday 5 April 2013, 07:30 EST<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>U.S. DOLLAR gold prices climbed back towards $1556 per ounce Friday morning in London,<br \/>\nthe level that was until yesterday&#8217;s falls the 2013 low, as stocks and commodities fell ahead of the<br \/>\nrelease of monthly US jobs data.<\/p>\n<p>Gold in Sterling climbed back above \u00a31020 an ounce, up from a three-month low hit yesterday,<br \/>\nwhile gold in Euros climbed back above \u20ac1200 an ounce, after touching its lowest level since<br \/>\nFebruary.<\/p>\n<p>Silver briefly edged back above $28 an ounce, having fallen to eight-month lows yesterday, while<br \/>\nlonger-dated US Treasuries gained.<\/p>\n<p>The latest US Employment Situation report, which includes the nonfarm payrolls figures for the<br \/>\nnumber of jobs added last month as well as the latest unemployment rate, is due to be released at<br \/>\n08.30 Washington, D.C. time.<\/p>\n<p>A day earlier, gold sank to a 10-month low in Dollar terms Thursday, briefly touching $1540 an<br \/>\nounce.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The fact that gold failed to hold the intraday lows in the $1540 area is a bit of a concern for the<br \/>\nbearish trend in the short-term,&#8221; say technical analysts at Scotia Mocatta.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There is a big support level between $1522 and $1532 which will have to be cleared before we see<br \/>\nanother large move down in gold.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The gold price will average $1730 an ounce this year, trading in a range between $1530 and $1850,<br \/>\naccording to forecasts published Thursday by metals consultancy Thomson Reuters GFMS.<\/p>\n<p>GFMS added however that an improving economic backdrop &#8220;could easily entail the start of a<br \/>\nsecular bear market&#8221; in 2014. At the launch of its Gold Survey 2013 report, GFMS also noted that<br \/>\ngold exchange traded funds saw outflows of 177 tonnes in the first three months of 2012, equivalent<br \/>\nto 63% of the amount they added over the whole of 2012.<\/p>\n<p>As of Thursday, the volume of gold backing shares in the world&#8217;s biggest gold ETF, SPDR Gold<br \/>\nTrust (ticker: GLD), was down more than 10% since the start of the year.<\/p>\n<p>Hedge fund Paulson &amp; Co., which latest available data show held around 5% of the GLD, saw<br \/>\nits Gold Fund fall by 27.9% in the first quarter, the Wall Street Journal reports, with the firm<br \/>\nciting &#8220;implied volatility in the gold derivatives market&#8221;. The Dollar gold price was down around<br \/>\n4% over the same period.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The main driver behind gold&#8217;s weakness this year has been the focus on global growth and that&#8217;s<br \/>\nmeant rotation out of defensive assets like gold,&#8221; says UBS analyst Joni Teves.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s this weak sentiment and it&#8217;s been feeding on itself. Central banks continue to pursue<br \/>\nexceptionally loose monetary policies and create a still supportive environment for gold.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Investors are reshuffling commodity investments into equities,&#8221; adds Commerzbank analyst Daniel<br \/>\nBriesemann.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We find it somewhat hard to understand the current underperformance of commodities given that<br \/>\nthe market environment is characterized by at least some economic recovery. We think that the drop<br \/>\nis exaggerated.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Police in Italy on Sunday seized gold bars worth an estimated \u20ac4.5 million after stopping a car<br \/>\ntrying to cross the border into Switzerland, according to press reports.<\/p>\n<p>Friday marks the 80th anniversary of Executive Order 6102, the confiscation of privately-held<br \/>\ngold by President Roosevelt in 1933.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/BullionVault\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Ben Traynor<\/strong><\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/BullionVault\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>BullionVault<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/BullionVault\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Gold value calculator | Buy gold online at live prices<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Editor of Gold News, the analysis and investment research site from world-leading gold ownership<br \/>\nservice BullionVault, Ben Traynor was formerly editor of the Fleet Street Letter, the UK&#8217;s longest-<br \/>\nrunning investment letter. A Cambridge economics graduate, he is a professional writer and editor<br \/>\nwith a specialist interest in monetary economics. Ben can be found on Google+<\/p>\n<p>(c) BullionVault 2013<\/p>\n<p>Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best<br \/>\nplace for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or<br \/>\ndata included here may have already been overtaken by events \u2013 and must be verified elsewhere \u2013<br \/>\nshould you choose to act on it.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>London Gold Market Report from Ben Traynor BullionVault Friday 5 April 2013, 07:30 EST U.S. DOLLAR gold prices climbed back towards $1556 per ounce Friday morning in London, the level that was until yesterday&#8217;s falls the 2013 low, as stocks and commodities fell ahead of the release of monthly US jobs data. Gold in Sterling &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/04\/05\/golds-fall-exaggerated-another-big-move-down-will-need-to-break-through-big-support-level\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold&#8217;s Fall &#8220;Exaggerated&#8221;, Another Big Move Down &#8220;Will Need to Break Through Big Support Level&#8221;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37311","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37311"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37311\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37311"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37311"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37311"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}