{"id":37147,"date":"2013-03-28T20:22:22","date_gmt":"2013-03-29T00:22:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=37147"},"modified":"2013-03-28T20:22:22","modified_gmt":"2013-03-29T00:22:22","slug":"why-dividend-stocks-may-not-stay-this-cheap-for-long","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/03\/28\/why-dividend-stocks-may-not-stay-this-cheap-for-long\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Dividend Stocks May Not Stay This Cheap for Long"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.MoneyMorning.com.au\" target=\"_blank\"><u>MoneyMorning.com.au<\/u><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>Phew! What a punishing second half of March.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s blood on the streets everywhere.<\/p>\n<p>Investors are crying into their cheap beer.<\/p>\n<p>And many are wondering if the stock market will ever go up again.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, hang on a minute, it wasn&#8217;t that bad. Yes, the <strong>Australian market<\/strong> is 3% below the recent peak reached on 12 March. But seeing as the market is still 25% higher than it was last June, we&#8217;ll take that any day of the week.<\/p>\n<p>The question is: are you still in the market or have you been spooked out of it?<\/p>\n<p>Either way, here&#8217;s what to do now&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll admit something. We told <em>Pursuit of Happiness<\/em> readers earlier this week that the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pursuitofhappiness.com.au\/index.php\/retirement\/learn-this-lesson-from-cyprus-before-its-too-late\/4183\/\" title=\"Learn This Lesson From Cyprus Before It\u2019s Too Late\">Cyprus savings grab had spooked us<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It made us reassess our cash savings and whether we&#8217;re better off switching some of that into <strong>gold<\/strong>. We figured out that yes,<a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20130321\/in-the-end-of-the-currency-era-look-to-gold.html\" title=\"In the End of The Currency Era, Look To Gold\"> we would be better off with more gold<\/a>, so that&#8217;s what we&#8217;ll do.<\/p>\n<p>But the one thing we didn&#8217;t do during the height of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyreckoning.com.au\/cyprus-an-old-fashioned-crisis-in-europe\/2013\/03\/19\/\" title=\"Cyprus: An Old Fashioned Crisis in Europe\">Cyprus crisis<\/a> was to change our view on the stock market.<\/p>\n<h2>Safer Than Cash?<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>That may seem strange. After all, in the event of a crisis isn&#8217;t it natural to sell risky assets and buy less risky assets? Well, yes, that&#8217;s true.<\/p>\n<p>But the way we&#8217;ve come to think about it (and we don&#8217;t think we&#8217;re the only ones to come to this conclusion), we&#8217;ve got more faith in the ability of Australian companies to weather a financial storm than we have in the banking sector to weather a bank run.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s especially so when, as we also pointed out to <em>Pursuit of Happiness<\/em> readers, a bank like <strong>Australia &#038; New Zealand Bank [ASX: ANZ]<\/strong> only has $75 in cash and coins in reserve for every $10,000 of deposits (that&#8217;s less than 1% by the way).<\/p>\n<p>How do you think you&#8217;ll go getting your cash out if there&#8217;s a run on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/financial-system\/banks-and-interest-rates\/australian-banks\" title=\"more on Australian Banks\">Australian banks<\/a>? Enough said.<\/p>\n<p>So, we&#8217;ll take the <strong>stock market<\/strong> any day of the week. That doesn&#8217;t mean you should ditch all your cash. But you should know the risks. We know the risks in shares, but just as importantly, we know the rewards.<\/p>\n<p>And as the chart shows, a 3% drop&#8230;big deal:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/images\/mm20130329a.jpg\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\"><\/div>\n<p><em><\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">Source: Google Finance<\/div>\n<p><\/em><\/p>\n<p>You know our style. We&#8217;re not a shill or a spruiker for the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/stock-market\" title=\"more on the stock market\">stock market<\/a>. If we thought things were bad &#8211; really bad &#8211; we&#8217;d tell you to sell.<\/p>\n<p>But right now we figure the Aussie market has settled in for an extended period of volatile, but ultimately, sideways action. In fact, we doubt if you&#8217;ll start to see the market challenge the March high again until the last three months of the year.<\/p>\n<p>For what it&#8217;s worth, just remember we tipped the market to end the year at 5,004 points. It hit that mark in February, and who knows, with the volatility, it&#8217;s still looking like a good bet to end the year at that level.<\/p>\n<p>But this is exactly<strong> why we&#8217;re buying stocks<\/strong>, and it&#8217;s why you should too&#8230;<\/p>\n<h2>Big Investors &#8216;Game-Hunting&#8217; for Yield<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve laid out our stall to say that it&#8217;s a great time to<strong> buy growth stocks<\/strong>. We said that a few weeks ago as stocks hit the peak. To us, <strong>dividend stocks<\/strong> looked overvalued at worst and fairly valued at best.<\/p>\n<p>But as we showed you in last Friday&#8217;s <em>Money Morning<\/em>, the recent sell-off has presented an opportunity to fill up on a few<a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/category\/stock-market\/stocks-and-bonds\/dividend-stocks\" title=\"more on dividend stocks\"> dividend stocks<\/a>. We used <strong>AMP Ltd [ASX: AMP]<\/strong> as an example. And what do you know? It rallied 4.6% on Wednesday, recovering about half of what it had lost since February.<\/p>\n<p>This isn&#8217;t, and won&#8217;t be, an isolated case. Investors will scan the market for yields. They&#8217;ll look to pick up any unfairly sold off stock. That <strong>should see dividend stocks gain<\/strong> over the next few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>So although the best opportunities for gains this year will come from growth stocks (especially the ones we focus on in the <a href=\"http:\/\/pro1.portphillippublishing.com.au\/3422\/\" target=\"_blank\">small-cap market<\/a>), you&#8217;d be a mug not to take advantage of the opportunity to use incoming cash flows to top-up on your dividend stocks.<\/p>\n<p>You shouldn&#8217;t expect to see the kind of capital growth gains you saw in the previous six months. But if you can get 4-5% gains, plus a 4-5% dividend yield, well, that isn&#8217;t a bad return on what most still think of as a super high-risk market.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cheers,<br \/>\n<a title=\"About Kris Sayce\" href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/about-kris-sayce\">Kris<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Join Kris Sayce on Google Plus\" href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/102832084048340347143\/posts\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Join me on Google+<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>From the Port Phillip Publishing Library<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Special Report: <a href=\"http:\/\/pro1.portphillippublishing.com.au\/3424\/\" target=\"_blank\">Australia&#8217;s Energy Stock BLOWOUT<\/a> <\/p>\n<p><em>Daily Reckoning<\/em>: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyreckoning.com.au\/in-gold-not-cyprus-we-trust\/2013\/03\/27\/\" target=\"_blank\">In Gold, Not Cyprus, We Trust<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Money Morning<\/em>: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneymorning.com.au\/20130327\/silver-100-within-two-years.html\" target=\"_blank\">Silver &#8216;$100 Within Two Years&#8217;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Pursuit of Happiness<\/em>: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pursuitofhappiness.com.au\/index.php\/market-news\/safer-than-cash-gold-regains-its-rightful-place\/4233\/\" target=\"_blank\">Safer Than Cash &#8211; Gold Regains Its Rightful Place<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Australian Small-Cap Investigator<\/em>:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.australiansmall-capinvestigator.com.au\/what-are-small-cap-stocks-an-introduction-to-small-cap-investing\">How to Make Money From Small-Cap Stocks<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=BpUb-I-5Qcw:6fYlbOTwfu4:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=BpUb-I-5Qcw:6fYlbOTwfu4:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=BpUb-I-5Qcw:6fYlbOTwfu4:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?a=BpUb-I-5Qcw:6fYlbOTwfu4:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/MoneyMorningAustralia?i=BpUb-I-5Qcw:6fYlbOTwfu4:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/MoneyMorningAustralia\/~4\/BpUb-I-5Qcw\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By MoneyMorning.com.au Phew! What a punishing second half of March. There&#8217;s blood on the streets everywhere. Investors are crying into their cheap beer. And many are wondering if the stock market will ever go up again. Oh, hang on a minute, it wasn&#8217;t that bad. Yes, the Australian market is 3% below the recent peak &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2013\/03\/28\/why-dividend-stocks-may-not-stay-this-cheap-for-long\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why Dividend Stocks May Not Stay This Cheap for Long&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37147","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37147"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37147\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37147"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37147"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37147"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}