{"id":33625,"date":"2012-11-21T10:14:11","date_gmt":"2012-11-21T15:14:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=33625"},"modified":"2012-11-21T08:15:18","modified_gmt":"2012-11-21T13:15:18","slug":"market-at-risk-of-one-more-leg-down-in-november","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2012\/11\/21\/market-at-risk-of-one-more-leg-down-in-november\/","title":{"rendered":"Market at Risk of One More Leg Down in November"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>David A. Banister-\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/237-9.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>www.MarketTrendForecast.com<\/strong><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The SP 500 declined a perfect 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the summer rally from the 1267 lows to the 1474 highs.\u00a0 In our work we examine human behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave patterns to help with clues on market direction.\u00a0 To be sure, there is no such thing as a perfect technical analysis methodology, so we do our best to mix up a home cooked recipe for assistance in getting as close as we can to calling the pivots up and down.<\/p>\n<p>In the near term, we notice the market has rallied out about 45 points off the 1344 pivot lows last week to around 1390 today.\u00a0 This retracement marks a normal 38.2% Fibonacci recovery of the most recent wave 3 decline to 1344.\u00a0 Typically, this is a wave 4 mini-bullish pattern as washout lows get bought and then shorts cover fueling the rally a bit higher.\u00a0 However, this is often when another sledgehammer comes out of left field and knocks the market down in what we would call a \u201cWave 5\u201d decline to new lows on the downtrend.<\/p>\n<p>Investors should watch both the 20 day moving average which is\u00a0 declining and around 1392 or so, and the 1388-1392 38% Fibonacci retracement areas\u00a0 for resistance. Only a strong close over 1392 can eliminate the potential for one more leg down to the 1316 areas on the SP 500 before the month of November comes to a close.\u00a0 With that said, we expect a rally in December for the markets and hope to see this barrier taken out soon, but would advise traders to tread with caution until such time.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.themarkettrendforecast.com\/forecasts\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/11\/1120-sp-wave-5-down.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"1120 sp wave 5 down\" src=\"http:\/\/www.themarkettrendforecast.com\/forecasts\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/11\/1120-sp-wave-5-down.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"441\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Consider joining us at\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/237-9.html\" target=\"_blank\">www.MarketTrendForecast.com<\/a><\/strong> for occasional free reports and or a 33% discount to join and get regularly daily forecast updates on the markets and precious metals that are outside the box.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>David A. Banister-\u00a0www.MarketTrendForecast.com The SP 500 declined a perfect 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the summer rally from the 1267 lows to the 1474 highs.\u00a0 In our work we examine human behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave patterns to help with clues on market direction.\u00a0 To be sure, there is no such thing as a perfect &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2012\/11\/21\/market-at-risk-of-one-more-leg-down-in-november\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Market at Risk of One More Leg Down in November&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33625"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33625\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}