{"id":28663,"date":"2012-04-02T21:14:57","date_gmt":"2012-04-03T01:14:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=28663"},"modified":"2012-04-02T21:14:57","modified_gmt":"2012-04-03T01:14:57","slug":"why-our-momentum-reversal-method-works","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2012\/04\/02\/why-our-momentum-reversal-method-works\/","title":{"rendered":"Why our Momentum Reversal Method Works!"},"content":{"rendered":"

By David Banister, ActiveTradingPartners.com<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

After a few years of testing with both ETF\u2019s and then individual stocks, we rolled out our MRM (momentum reversal method) platform at my ATP subscription service in November 2011. \u00a0This is now beginning to get alot of attention in the trading community as in addition to the ATP service, I have shared some of the real time MRM type plays online with some very top notch traders.<\/p>\n

In essence, my work revolves around crowd psychology or what I call \u201cCrowd Behavior\u201d. \u00a0If there is one thing in the stock markets that never changes, it\u2019s how crowds react to news, events, and also how they over-react more importantly. \u00a0My MRM system helps to define where the crowd may be over-reacting on the upside and also obviously the downside of a move in a security. \u00a0Knowing roughly where that upside and downside exhaustion point may be, can obviously be a huge tool in a traders tool box.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s be honest, the Holy Grail of investing and or position trading would be to buy low and sell high as often as possible with as few mistakes as possible right? \u00a0The ATP MRM crowd based timing method is what that aims to do, a lofty goal but one we feel we are achieving on a regular basis. \u00a0The major problem most investors have is selling out of a position at the extreme areas of \u201cPain\u201d, where your emotions take over and you cant take the paper loss any longer and you sell. \u00a0The other issue is chasing stocks higher because the adrenaline and excitement of owning a stock that is rushing higher is too hard to pass up.<\/p>\n

Both of those investor psychology based decisions are made in panic buy and panic sell modes. \u00a0That leads to a recipe for disaster for a trading account over time. \u00a0Instead, what we want to do is the opposite right? We want to calmly buy shares in a stock that has become oversold due to emotional responses from the crowd, and sell into a huge rally where the crowd has become overly exuberant. \u00a0What if you could do that on a regular basis all the time with cool and calm nerves of steel?<\/p>\n

Our MRM trading system at ATP allows us as best as we can to cooly and calmly enter into oversold stocks right near the apex of the lows, and then quietly exit into the rush as the stock reverses back to the upside.<\/p>\n

Recent examples include the ETF NUGT. \u00a0This is a 300% leveraged ETF to the Gold Stock Index. \u00a0Now we all know the Gold Stocks have been under severe pressure of late as the GDX ETF has cratered from its highs over the last many months. \u00a0My MRM system though kept us out of the gold stocks, until very recently when we saw the idea entry point for a swing. \u00a0Based on the GDX falling into the 49 and below level, my MRM targets said we were at an extreme emotional bottom using my 1 day, 3 day, and weekly crowd indicators. \u00a0We therefore entered calmly into NUGT at 15.61, and within 48 hours we saw that ETF rally to 17.81! \u00a0We sold at 16.80 and 17.10 for 1\/2 and 1\/2 tranches to pocket 7-10% gains inside of 2 days. \u00a0 The move from 15.61 to 17.81 was a 14% move inside of 48 hours!! \u00a0We also knew to sell into that rally because just a few short days later the NUGT had fallen all the way back to 15.30 per share. \u00a0My MRM method then said 15.31 was another entry buy, and 24 hours later NUGT was up another 7%! \u00a0So in the span of 6 trading days, MRM gave out an 8.5% blended return, and then followed it up with another 7% return. \u00a0Thats 15.5% of return with low downside risk in 6 trading days on just one ETF position!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

We usually apply this type of work to MRM Positions that we actually intend to position ourselves in weeks not days. \u00a0However, if we do get extreme moves in a short period of time, we always look to trim back some of those profits in the position. \u00a0The samples above are what I call \u201cActive Trades\u201d at my ATP service, these are intended to days not weeks in holding period. \u00a0Keep in mind alot of our work is in an Active MRM portfolio where again, we are holding swing positions for weeks and not days, so it does not require as much daily work by our partners.<\/p>\n

Some additional recent samples include CVV which we entered twice for profits inside of a few months. \u00a0We banked 13-16% gains on one swing, waited weeks and entered again. \u00a0The stock actually dropped below our MRM entry and we held on knowing that it was likely bottoming out amidst panic emotional selling at 10.66 per share. \u00a0A few weeks later our patience paid off as the stock rose to 13.80 per share. \u00a0Most traders would have taken the loss below $11 per share, and missed the reversal back up for 25% or more. \u00a0When you take a loss that way, you must then replace that position with another trade that gains 25% or more in this case. \u00a0MRM helps to avoid panic selling, and often to take advantage of panic drops in a stock to buy more.<\/p>\n

David talks live about MRM method<\/strong>
\nYou can also download the mp3 audio file for this interview on your computer by\u00a0clicking here<\/a>\u00a0WITH A RIGHT BUTTON CLICK and selecting SAVE FILE AS from the drop down menu.<\/div>\n

\"<\/p>\n

Consider joining us for 90 days trial period and play along. \u00a0We provide all the alerts in real time via Email and internet posting. We provide daily updates on all positions and 24\/7 Email access to me for any questions. By David Banister, ActiveTradingPartners.com<\/strong><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By David Banister, ActiveTradingPartners.com After a few years of testing with both ETF\u2019s and then individual stocks, we rolled out our MRM (momentum reversal method) platform at my ATP subscription service in November 2011. \u00a0This is now beginning to get alot of attention in the trading community as in addition to the ATP service, I … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Why our Momentum Reversal Method Works!”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28663\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}