Hijacked: The Most Expensive Book on Earth

By WallStreetDaily.com

This is easily the most intriguing column I’ve written all year.

It’s about one of the most expensive books on Earth.

The book reveals a way to accomplish the impossible, which explains why Wall Street has been accused of burning as many of these books as it can.

It also helps explain why this book sells for as much as $2,500.

You won’t believe how I just found a copy.

Click here for the details.

Ahead of the tape,

Louis Basenese

The post Hijacked: The Most Expensive Book on Earth appeared first on  | Wall Street Daily.

Article By WallStreetDaily.com

Original Article: Hijacked: The Most Expensive Book on Earth

Why These Two Big Company Earnings Reports Concern Me So Much

By Profit Confidential

Two Big Company Earnings Reports Concern Me So Much“The company beat on earnings but missed on revenues”—that’s the story this past earning season, and a similar one to the last few quarters.

It’s a real problem. Corporations are squeezing expenses and employee productivity without investing in new operations. Excess cash is being returned to shareholders in a zero-growth environment, peppered with some price inflation. This is not the recipe for a rising stock market.

So many companies beat on one financial metric, but missed on another. And DENTSPLY International Inc. (XRAY), a well-known dental supply company, is no exception; a stable and profitable business, DENSTPLY, like so many others, has hit a wall in terms of growth.

According to the company, its second-quarter sales were $761 million, down slightly from sales of $763 million in the same quarter last year. Earnings grew to $87.2 million, or $0.60 per diluted share, up from comparable earnings of $80.8 million, or $0.56 per diluted share. Adjusted earnings grew seven percent to a record $0.66 per diluted share.

The company cited its European operations and currency translation as reasons for the zero top-line growth. Management revised its adjusted earnings-per-share (EPS) range for 2013 slightly lower to between $2.33 and $2.38 per share.

All in all, DENTSPLY is a good business that sells to well-heeled customers. But generating meaningful sales growth is proving very difficult, and it’s tough to make a case for investing in a company that isn’t growing both its revenues and earnings.

Investor sentiment in the equity market is a perpetual balancing act. The market will forgive underperformance in earnings if a company is experiencing strong sales; the opposite is true when revenues come in flat, but earnings surprise.

But this financial dynamic is not sustainable over time. While the liquidity in capital markets remains decent, the goal of generating real economic growth (over inflation) is not being achieved. If artificially low interest rates along the entire yield curve were meant to help jumpstart the U.S. economy, the result has only been stabilization, not growth. (See “Why Corporate Earnings Are Taking a Back Seat to the Fed.”)

In the end, improving balance sheets at the corporate and individual levels will serve the long-term interest of the economy. But presently, monetary policy has proven not to be enough on its own to kick-start the economy over the rate of inflation.

Getting corporations to invest their cash hoard is going to be very difficult. They require continued certainty and an above-average return on investment. Without the opportunity, it’s just easier to offer more dividends and/or buy back shares.

Many second-quarter earnings reports offered some growth in one financial metric. In a lot of cases, sales growth was just price inflation, which the marketplace is absorbing.

The absence of any real top-line growth will start to hurt earnings, and the upcoming third quarter should see this scenario unfold. It is, therefore, a tough case to be a buyer of equities at this particular time.

Weaker outlooks from companies like Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT) and Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) are the canary in the coal mine. My outlook for the third quarter is definitely diminishing.

Article by profitconfidential.com

What Makes This Internet Benchmark a Top Contender Moving Forward

By Profit Confidential

Internet Benchmark a Top Contender Moving ForwardOn May 16, 1997, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ/AMZN) closed at $20.75. Fast-forward 16 years and the company, started by Jeffrey Bezos, is now trading just below $300.00 with a market cap of $131 billion. The stock is expensive, trading at 102-times (X) its estimated 2014 earnings per share (EPS), along with a massive price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 9.14—meaning Amazon.com is trading well above its five-year growth rate.

While the significant valuation assigned by the stock market appears extreme at first glance, considering that other high-flyers are trading at lower valuations, like Google Inc. (NASDAQ/GOOG) at only 17X and even Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ/FB) at 39X, there is also plenty of optimism.

Amazon.com Inc Chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

Amazon.com has an aggressive online selling strategy to expand its business into nearly every facet in which money can be made. Initially a seller of books and music, the company, under the direction of Bezos, now wants a piece of just about every market sector. Just like Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE/WMT) or Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ/COST) on the brick-and-mortar side, where these companies are selling everything, Amazon.com is trying to do it via the virtual arena.

In my view, the strategy adopted by Amazon.com makes a whole lot of sense. The numbers shopping online have evolved and are now a significant part of America’s economy.

For instance, I bank online, buy clothes, books, and music online, stream videos, and just about anything else you can think of. The Internet has become the real deal.

Amazon.com recently announced its streaming online video business that will go head-to-head with incumbent Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ/NFLX) and Hulu. (Read “Now That the Video Streaming Wars Have Begun, Who Will Win?”) Amazon.com has the subscribers to monetize any business idea. The company will simply aim to sell more products to its massive subscriber base.

So it is not a surprise that Amazon.com may be extending its online grocery business “AmazonFresh” to New York City, expanding from the current Los Angeles and Seattle metro areas. While still at its infancy, the concept of ordering groceries online for same-day delivery has been around for over a decade, but really has not caught on with any major player. Maybe Amazon.com will become the dominant player, since I wouldn’t bet against Bezos.

But even if AmazonFresh fails to pick up steam, the aggressive expansion strategy of Amazon.com into numerous business segments is intriguing, which is why the company has been given such a high multiple. The valuation is clearly excessive but you get a sense that Amazon.com has what it takes to become one of America’s top companies going forward.

Article by profitconfidential.com

These CEOs Cry the Blues as Consumer Spending Pulls Back Again

By Profit Confidential

Consumer Spending PullsConsumer spending in the U.S. economy is bleak. Until it picks up, you can’t expect the U.S. economy to see growth; after all, consumer spending does make up 60%-70% of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP).

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE/WMT), a bellwether stock for consumer spending, reported corporate earnings of $1.24 per share in its fiscal second quarter (ended on July 21). That’s an increase of 5.1% compared to last year—but just like other big public companies, Wal-Mart purchased $1.9 billion worth of its own shares in that quarter to prop up its earnings.

Here’s what the company’s CFO, Charles Holley, had to say about consumer spending in the U.S. economy: “…the retail environment remains challenging in the U.S. and our international markets, as customers are cautious in their spending…” (Source: Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. press release, August 15, 2013.) With this, the retail giant lowered its net sales and corporate earnings expectations for the year.

Wal-Mart isn’t the only company complaining about poor consumer spending in the U.S. economy.

For its fiscal second quarter (ended August 3), Macy’s, Inc.’s (NYSE/M) sales declined 0.8% from the same period a year ago. Macy’s Chairman and CEO, Terry J. Lundgren, said, “…second quarter sales performance was softer than anticipated and we are disappointed with the results. Our performance in the period, in part, reflects consumers’ continuing uncertainty about spending on discretionary items in the current economic environment…” (Source: Macy’s, Inc. second-quarter earnings press release, August 14, 2013.)

If Wal-Mart and Macy’s are complaining about soft sales, this tells me two things: First, retail stocks might not be the best investment right now. The Dow Jones Retail Index is down five percent this month alone. Second, a pullback on consumer spending tells me the U.S. economy isn’t growing as it is perceived to be.

We’ve already seen the first-quarter U.S. GDP revised lower due to weak consumer spending. After hearing from bellwether companies like Wal-Mart and Macy’s on the current status of consumer spending in the U.S. economy, I expect the second-quarter U.S. GDP, initially reported at 1.7%, to also be revised downward.

Michael’s Personal Notes:

Risks in the bond market continue to pile up quickly. Bond investors need to be very careful. They need to be very vigilant about their next step.

June was the first month since August of 2011 that U.S. long-term bond mutual funds experienced a net outflow. A total of $60.4 billion was withdrawn from the bond mutual funds in June 2013. (Source: Investment Company Institute, August 14, 2013.) While I don’t have the exact numbers yet, bond investors continued to exit bond mutual funds in July.

Why are investors in the bond market exiting stage left? As yields continue to rise, the price of bonds are falling and investors are taking their losses and moving on. Just look at the chart below of the bellwether 30-year U.S. Treasury bond.

 TYX 30 year t bond yield chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

Since the beginning of May, yields on long-term U.S. bonds have skyrocketed, as the chart above so clearly shows. The yield on the 30-year U.S. bond has gone up from 2.8% in early May to over 3.8% today.

This is very significant, as yields on long-term U.S. bonds—such as the 30-year bonds—are benchmarks for yields across the bond market. If yields on U.S. bonds go higher, you can bet the same for other kinds of bonds in the bond market as well.

Since the beginning of the financial crisis, we saw investors rush to the bond market because it was considered to be a safe place and because they had bet (correctly) that the Federal Reserve would drop interest rates to help the economy. Bond prices increased significantly under the Federal Reserve’s easy monetary policy.

Now, with conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve, the bond market is a fragile place. Bond investors leaving the market shows they don’t have an appetite for holding bonds in their portfolios as they did a few years back.

If interest rates continue to rise, losses in the bond market are going to be immense. Consider this: Pension funds and insurance companies hold bonds in their portfolios. As the yields continue to increase, they are going to face scrutiny.

Those who are saying the recent dip in the bond market is a great buying point should rethink their options. The risk-to-reward ratio is poor for bond investors.

What He Said:

“Prepare for the worst economic period ahead that we have seen in years, my dear reader, as that is what I see coming. I’ve written over the past three years how, in the late 1920s, real estate prices fell first before the stock market and how I felt the same would happen this time. Home prices in the U.S. peaked in 2005 and started falling in 2006. The stock market is following suit here in 2008. Is a depression coming? No. How about a severe deflationary recession? Yes!” Michael Lombardi in Profit Confidential, January 21, 2008. Michael started talking about and predicting the economic catastrophe we started experiencing in 2008 long before anyone else.

Article by profitconfidential.com

The Bond Market: Once a Good Investment, Now a Bad One

By Profit Confidential

Risks in the bond market continue to pile up quickly. Bond investors need to be very careful. They need to be very vigilant about their next step.

June was the first month since August of 2011 that U.S. long-term bond mutual funds experienced a net outflow. A total of $60.4 billion was withdrawn from the bond mutual funds in June 2013. (Source: Investment Company Institute, August 14, 2013.) While I don’t have the exact numbers yet, bond investors continued to exit bond mutual funds in July.

Why are investors in the bond market exiting stage left? As yields continue to rise, the price of bonds are falling and investors are taking their losses and moving on. Just look at the chart below of the bellwether 30-year U.S. Treasury bond.

 TYX 30 year t bond yield chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

Since the beginning of May, yields on long-term U.S. bonds have skyrocketed, as the chart above so clearly shows. The yield on the 30-year U.S. bond has gone up from 2.8% in early May to over 3.8% today.

This is very significant, as yields on long-term U.S. bonds—such as the 30-year bonds—are benchmarks for yields across the bond market. If yields on U.S. bonds go higher, you can bet the same for other kinds of bonds in the bond market as well.

Since the beginning of the financial crisis, we saw investors rush to the bond market because it was considered to be a safe place and because they had bet (correctly) that the Federal Reserve would drop interest rates to help the economy. Bond prices increased significantly under the Federal Reserve’s easy monetary policy.

Now, with conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve, the bond market is a fragile place. Bond investors leaving the market shows they don’t have an appetite for holding bonds in their portfolios as they did a few years back.

If interest rates continue to rise, losses in the bond market are going to be immense. Consider this: Pension funds and insurance companies hold bonds in their portfolios. As the yields continue to increase, they are going to face scrutiny.

Those who are saying the recent dip in the bond market is a great buying point should rethink their options. The risk-to-reward ratio is poor for bond investors.

What He Said:

“Prepare for the worst economic period ahead that we have seen in years, my dear reader, as that is what I see coming. I’ve written over the past three years how, in the late 1920s, real estate prices fell first before the stock market and how I felt the same would happen this time. Home prices in the U.S. peaked in 2005 and started falling in 2006. The stock market is following suit here in 2008. Is a depression coming? No. How about a severe deflationary recession? Yes!” Michael Lombardi in Profit Confidential, January 21, 2008. Michael started talking about and predicting the economic catastrophe we started experiencing in 2008 long before anyone else.

Article by profitconfidential.com

Why Corporate Earnings Are Taking a Back Seat to the Fed

By Profit Confidential

blue chipsThe second-quarter earnings season is considered over, but there are still a number of companies reporting. And the same trend continues—the numbers are anemic.

Making the case for a rising stock market in the face of little sales growth and earnings results that are basically just meeting expectations is difficult. The stock market’s performance for the last few years has been very much due to the monetary expansion, followed by a slight improvement in general business conditions.

What is clear is that corporate balance sheets continue to be extremely healthy. However, the lack of investment in new plants, equipment, and employees remains a big problem. There is more certainty in the marketplace, but corporations just aren’t making much in the way of bold new investments.

Despite the mediocrity, there are still a number of blue chips whose earnings estimates are being increased by Wall Street. In a lot of the earnings results from blue chips over the last several quarters, sales increases have mostly been due to rising prices, not necessarily rising volumes. This is emblematic of the very slow growth environment the U.S. economy continues to experience, as well as the economic misnomer that price inflation is tame.

The velocity of money, which is the willingness of both corporations and individuals to spend cash, continues to be faint. Improving balance sheets is an excellent development for the long run, but cash hoarding means no growth near term. It’s a trend that’s likely to continue.

While not much of an advocate for buying in the stock market today, I do think that it’s wise for investors to stick with the safest names—to keep holding those blue chips who have been the market’s leaders to date.

Some of these names include: The Procter & Gamble Company (PG), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Pepsico, Inc. (PEP), The Walt Disney Company (DIS), Nike Inc. (NKE), The Home Depot, Inc. (HD), and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), to name a few. (See “Where to Find an Investment Opportunity in a Market That’s Much Too High.”) These are the proven blue chips, with increasing dividends providing the earnings certainty that institutional investors will continue to pay for.

The way the stock market finishes this year is highly dependent on the Federal Reserve and the amount of monetary stimulus stirring the system. This is a market about the perception of certainty, not the reality of it. Economic news of late shows the U.S. economy to be very tame in its recovery, with regional- and industry-specific fractions very much a reality.

As things go in capital markets, good news in the form of positive economic statistics or earnings produces a falling stock market. Good news also increases the probability of a reduction in monetary stimulus.

This is the reality of the extreme short-term focus of capital markets. For equities, the market –extremely focused on the Fed; corporate earnings are secondary.

Article by profitconfidential.com

Yes, We’re Bullish on Gold, But Here’s One Bear’s Case Worth Reading

By Profit Confidential

stock marketWhen gold failed to hold above $1,800, I became skeptical. The stock market was on fire, so why would anyone want to buy gold, as the easy money was already made? Then we saw spot prices fall below $1,700, $1,600, and then $1,500…when I turned bearish. (Read “Is Gold’s Near-Death Crisis Over-Exaggerated? Concerns of a Market Meltdown May Not Be.”)

Well, fast-forward four months, and I continue to be neutral-to-bearish. I just don’t see any point buying the precious metal at this time: there’s minimal inflation and the world is not going to blow up anytime soon, plus you have so much money funneled into stocks.

When gold broke below $1,300 towards $1,200, I suggested traders buy on the dip, but also sell on rallies. That’s still my contention at this point; with the spot price at $1,326, I would not be a buyer. Now, if the yellow ore fell below $1,300, I would consider buying as a trade.

If I’m wrong, then so are investment gurus John Paulson and George Soros, who are running for the exits and divesting a major portion of their gold holdings. According to filings from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the SPDR Gold Trust run by Paulson sold off over half of its gold holdings in the second quarter. I simply wouldn’t be betting against these two.

The global demand is also at a four-year low, according to the World Gold Council. The organization attributed the decline to investors selling bullion funds and lower buying by the world central bankers. (Source: Harvey, J. “Gold demand hits 4-year low as investors pull out – WGC,” Reuters web site, August 15, 2013.)

When I look at the chart, I cannot say there is any optimism. After a series of multiple tops at $1,800 in 2011 and 2012, the metal has been sliding as I discussed.

The chart shows some support, but I believe prices could falter again towards the next Fibonacci Level, at around $1,210. Goldman Sachs has a $1,200 target on gold; failing to hold here, the metal could slide to around $1,050.

Gold-Spot Price Chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

Whatever the situation, I still see more downside risk than upside potential, based on my technical analysis. The supporters will tell you how the metal is limited and how you need to accumulate positions. While I do agree with this, I just don’t feel it’s that time just yet.

Article by profitconfidential.com

How the Election Could Impact Stocks, and Why You Should Ignore It…

By MoneyMorning.com.au

If you didn’t know it yet, this is a federal election year.

That’s not that unusual in Australia, seeing as they happen every three years.

Leading up to every US presidential election you hear analysts explaining what happens to markets after an election and whether a Democrat or Republican is better for the market.

So maybe you’re wondering if there’s a link between Aussie elections and the Aussie market?

We wondered the same thing. Here’s what we found out…

Unfortunately, our data for the Aussie All Ordinaries index only goes back to 1984. So we only have limited stock data. It means the data only covers the last 10 federal elections.

Even so, is there a clear result on what happens during an election year and which party helps the stock market most?

We’ll let you decide that one. Here’s the chart of the All Ordinaries index going back to 1984. We’ve plotted the election year with a coloured dot above the chart line.

A blue dot indicates a Coalition win. A red dot indicates a Labor win.


Index Data: Yahoo! Finance

How you interpret the chart will probably depend on your political allegiance. At first glance we notice one thing: both Labor and Liberal have presided during exuberant bubbles – Labor leading up to the 1987 crash, the Coalition leading up to the 2008 crash.

But aside from that, we’re not convinced there’s any link between election results and stock markets. Here’s why…

It’s Important to Know What’s Not Important

The reality is that there isn’t as much difference between major political party policies as they would have you think. That goes for any political party in the western world.

So it’s pointless to say that one party is better than the other.

Besides, the main drivers behind stock market growth have been the loosening of monetary policies and improvements in technology. This has occurred under political parties of both the so-called Left and Right.

In short, any attempt to link the performance of stocks to the election of a political party is just plain junk. So why are we wasting your time by devoting today’s Money Morning to the subject?

Well, sometimes it’s just as important to show you what’s not important as it is to show you what is important.

And devising your whole investment strategy around which political party can buy off the most votes is no way to invest.

However, if you’re determined to play around with stocks as a way to make a buck or two from the federal election, there is one stock that appears to have become the barometer for the electoral fortunes of the two main parties…

Use Company Fundamental Analysis Not Political Analysis

Punting on a stock or index purely based on which party could win an election is a mug’s game.

That said, if you’ve paid much attention to the news in recent weeks you’ll know the federal government changed the rules on the fringe benefits tax (FBT) treatment for work vehicles. It caused a storm, with car leasing firms laying off workers within hours of the announced changes.

One of the companies hit the hardest was ASX-listed McMillan Shakespeare [ASX: MMS]. The stock fell from $18 before the announced change to as low as $6.75 just a few days later.

Since then McMillan Shakespeare has recovered some of the lost ground as investors bank on a policy U-turn. Now, that could come from either party. But there’s little doubt that most investors see the prospect of a Coalition victory as the main reason to punt on the stock.

But it’s a big gamble. As you can see from the following chart, the stock was trading at a record high just before the change to FBT rules:


Source: CMC Markets Stockbroking

The stock price had climbed from $2.50 in 2009 to $18.64 just a few weeks ago.

But even if the FBT rules change, there’s no guarantee the stock will return to its former glory. After such a big run-up there’s always the chance that the company couldn’t have kept up with investor expectations anyway.

And that’s not the only risk. You also have to consider how much investors have already priced in a Coalition or Labor victory. So even if the Coalition wins, there’s no guarantee the stock price will climb further.

And likewise, a Labor victory won’t necessarily mean the share price will fall.

As we say, using elections to bet on stock market returns is a mug’s game. Stocks rise or fall based mainly on earnings and interest rate expectations. An election result or policy can impact that, but it’s not the only factor.

There are much better ways to play the market than studying election results.

You should invest based on company or market fundamentals (such as Nick Hubble’s brilliant analysis of a multi-billion Chinese ‘white market‘ play) not based on how many punters a political party can swindle into voting for them.

Cheers,
Kris+

Join Money Morning on Google+

From the Port Phillip Publishing Library

Special Report: Make the Chinese Pay For Your Retirement
 

Daily Reckoning: Australia’s Economy: Complex, Fragile or Centralised?

Money Morning: Why Conservative Investors Shouldn’t Invest Conservatively…

Pursuit of Happiness:  Inflation is Not Progress, This is Progress…

Australian Small-Cap Investigator:
How to Make Big Money from Small-Cap Stocks

How to Apply Reynold’s Law to Your Retirement Savings

By MoneyMorning.com.au

(Ed note: This article is an extract from The Money for Life Letter, 4th July 2013.)

Philio of Alexandra, a blogger, coined the term Reynold’s Law: ‘Subsidizing the markers of status doesn’t produce the character traits that result in that status; it undermines them.’ That doesn’t make much sense unless you look at the context the law was created in.

Another blogger, Glenn Reynolds, wrote the piece which led to the discovery of Reynold’s Law:

‘The government decides to try to increase the middle class by subsidizing things that middle class people have: If middle-class people go to college and own homes, then surely if more people go to college and own homes, we’ll have more middle-class people. But homeownership and college aren’t causes of middle-class status, they’re markers for possessing the kinds of traits – self-discipline, the ability to defer gratification, etc. – that let you enter, and stay, in the middle class. Subsidizing the markers doesn’t produce the traits; if anything, it undermines them.’

The result of undermining these traits is an economic crisis.

In America, the kind of policy Reynold’s Law applies to was directed at housing. Owning a house was the American Dream. But the government policies designed to make the American Dream easier to achieve simply drove people into owning houses even though they never had the underlying traits you need to own a house.

They didn’t have savings, an income or stability in their lives. In the end, Reynold’s Law caught up with this policy and the sub-prime crisis began. People discovered that all those borrowers couldn’t repay their loans, and the financial system failed.

Doing the Opposite of What Works

Before we get to applying Reynold’s Law to your retirement, here’s another example of it in action.

In Europe, the welfare state funded lifestyles people couldn’t have earned for themselves. Greece is the poster child of this. Public servants are paid bonuses if they arrive to work on time, and receive payment for two extra fictional months each year.

On the island of Zakynthos, hundreds of people declared themselves blind to receive welfare cheques while some work as Taxi drivers at the same time. But this economic mirage is now over and the Greek government can’t pay what it promised.

The trouble with these policies is that they encourage exactly the opposite kind of behaviour you need to reach the goal the policy is advocating. To encourage the American Dream, you need to encourage savings and a steady job.

But economic policies instead did the opposite – you needed neither to own a home. People who would’ve saved and worked no longer needed to. And that worsened the problem. The same goes for Greece, where the best and the brightest went to work for the lavish government sector and made their living off those who paid taxes.

Reynold’s Law Alive and Well in Australia

Now that you understand how Reynold’s Law works, let’s apply it to your life. But not your retirement just yet.

When you flew the nest and set out on your own, a whole new set of traits were required. Budgeting, saving, planning ahead, looking for job opportunities, making a good impression and competing with your peers would’ve been the new skills you had to learn.

Reynold’s Law was in operation back then too. Those who learned these new skills fast, or took the time to practice them before stepping into the ‘real world’, had an edge. Those who stuck to the shelter of their family, school and friendships were naive and learned lessons the hard way when they really mattered.

Pocket money is a great example. Learning to budget by receiving a fixed income would’ve taught you the price of spending all your money the day you get it.

Back then, your parents would have had the biggest say over the application of Reynold’s Law. If they protected and subsidised you in the wrong ways, the traits you developed would’ve betrayed you in the real world. If they carefully allowed and encouraged you to learn some of life’s lessons before they had to be applied, you would have had a head start in life.

Now you can’t help who your parents were. So Reynold’s Law was either a painful or a pleasant experience to discover back then. But retirement is your opportunity to make the most of Reynold’s Law on your own terms. And, quite frankly, I hope you do.

You see, the government of Australia, like just about all other western governments, has subsidised retirement. But that has undermined the traits you need to secure that retirement. Now, the fact that you’re a subscriber to The Money for Life Letter is a big hint that you are aware of this and already trying to resist. But it’s still worth making the point in a way that will make you even more aware.

But what’s the need for this awareness if the government will take care of you anyway? Well, that emotion didn’t work out well for the welfare states of the past. Greece, Spain, Portugal and many cities in America are all struggling with their pension burdens.

The solution is always the same. In the 90s, Scandinavian countries went through a similar crisis as Southern Europe is going through today. Their welfare states had become so bloated, the country suffered. They reformed and pensions were cut and privatised.

Now I don’t know when such a crisis will happen in Australia. We’re much better off than Europe and America, for now, and have a very different retirement savings system with less government control.

But I am sure that relying on anyone but yourself for your retirement is dangerous, not just because those promises might not be kept, but because you’ll undermine all the traits you need to have a prosperous retirement no matter what.

So here’s what I suggest you do: Practice and perfect the traits that will serve you well during retirement before they really matter. Break Reynold’s Law.

If you don’t, subsidies from the government will slowly teach you bad traits and habits like indifference and ignorance. Of course, if you’re already retired, it’s never too late to realise what has served you well and what you need to change.

What are the Desirable Traits of Retirement?

Well, it’s much easier to stay in work, or to transfer to less demanding work, than it is to rejoin the workforce. So knowing when to retire is the first trait. It’s pretty similar to knowing when you should give up on education and try and begin earning a living. Making the move too early or too late has costs.

Health problems in retirement can be a dangerous drain on your finances. And so avoiding them where you can is a major financial benefit. The traits you need for this are quite obvious – being health conscious about what you eat, drink and do is something you won’t regret. Unfortunately, you will never find out how many illnesses you avoided by staying healthy. But you’ll probably enjoy a longer happier retirement either way.

There are hundreds of ways to reduce your spending bit by bit without giving up on a lavish life. And in retirement, you have the time to figure them out. But it takes practice. There are people who give up their day jobs to compete in radio and online competitions, trivia nights, and other games.

 Many people drastically cut their cost of living by making the most out of all the coupons, discounts and ‘freebies’ they can find. If these people can do it during the prime of their lives, when they should be earning and saving for retirement, you can do it during retirement.

You’ve been paying taxes all your working life. Retirement is a great time to recover some of that money you earned. At least that’s the way I see it. If Julia Gillard gets her enormous pension and a driver paid for by your hard work, why shouldn’t you get some cash back from the government to pay for the good life? Making the most out of government benefits, tax concessions and loopholes should be standard procedure for retirees.

Remember, the point of Reynold’s Law is that you shouldn’t be lulled into a poor set of traits by the government. Don’t rely on the pension, your Superannuation or anyone else when preparing for your golden years. Instead, you should begin practicing those traits which you can use to improve your resilience. Whether you need them or not, they’ll improve your retirement.

Nick Hubble+
Editor, The Money for Life Letter

Join Money Morning on Google+

From the Archives…

How Many Warren Buffett’s in a Bar of Gold?
16-08-2013 –  Kris Sayce

Two Points to Consider from the Commonwealth Bank…
15-08-2013 –  Kris Sayce

Take Control of Your Superannuation, but Know the Limits
14-08-2013 – Vern Gowdie

Why I’m Glad I Missed a Dividend Stock That Doubled…
13-08-2013 – Kris Sayce

No Profit in the Federal Reserve Divination
12-08-2013 – Dan Denning